TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa7b…0c1abacked Yes11c45,757$5,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,183.3130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes2c18,984$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.754112.2%5 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Yes12c18,550$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2261414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes12c13,028$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.5622546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e19…9a3abacked Yes15c7,628$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes16c6,353$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.43306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes10c6,314$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes17c6,139$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.86911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes2c5,000$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.44244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes15c4,866$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes14c4,797$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.994810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c4,410$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd8…4ed3backed Yes15c4,300$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-93%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes3c3,912$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Yes7c3,888$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.551216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+288.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes12c3,176$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.82616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a4…17abbacked Yes8c2,881$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes1c2,727$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe791…b399backed Yes4c2,509$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes15c2,124$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.67258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7237…24f8backed Yes3c1,979$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes5c1,948$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.46137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e47…919dbacked Yes15c1,817$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes13c1,650$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0480%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes3c1,438$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-86.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x428b…5b25backed Yes13c1,385$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes13c1,211$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.811168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes16c1,163$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.063517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0931backed Yes11c1,122$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.393511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+147.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes2c1,120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.642441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e3…daf8backed Yes11c1,082$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes16c1,050$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51df…8605backed Yes14c1,027$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+205.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes12c1,015$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes3c941.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…4d62backed Yes23c877.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c807$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.993327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes13c805.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.433046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes13c782.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes3c763.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b35…bb20backed Yes12c749.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes18c739.24$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.163414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes14c707.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.063611.1%4 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7443…7a4bbacked Yes14c707.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c706.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.031414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes12c650$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes9c586.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…6400backed Yes12c554.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes23c532.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes10c519.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes8c506.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+257.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e63…bdbdbacked Yes6c504.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x504e…8da8backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Yes20c499.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes3c450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes15c449$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.352638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+78.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe1c…5e6dbacked Yes17c430.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce64…4f41backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…9aeebacked Yes19c406.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc023…5ae8backed Yes11c402.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes13c400$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb1…a0ebbacked Yes14c359.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.460%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes14c344.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf8…fd15backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Yes13c320.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00a…9db3backed Yes12c307$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94f0…e258backed Yes15c293.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11e…5ba7backed Yes14c290.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.66120%0 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes10c279.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.09650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes12c270.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-78.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15a…49aebacked Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes15c262.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc889…4903backed Yes13c251.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…7a51backed Yes12c224.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ccf…8e1dbacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes16c205$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No77c204$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4120…f424backed Yes14c203$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-78.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…6d42backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafc…b7d5backed Yes14c195.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ad…45ecbacked Yes9c186.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Yes7c182.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-79.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f61…a33bbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-76.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…339cbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x984d…2a3ebacked Yes11c154.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…a695backed Yes16c151.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fc…658fbacked Yes13c148.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2831backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba0…52d8backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…7138backed Yes16c125.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.