TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c57…5b16backed No80c12,634$10,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.532025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes2c12,159$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.02263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes24c11,500$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804456.7%3 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-87.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes2c11,396$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.29156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec9…8001backed Yes12c8,017$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No61c7,990$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.716241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbf…43cabacked No62c7,700$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes39c6,500$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5241631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes54c6,079$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No73c5,923$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes1c5,855$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.444112.2%5 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes26c5,088$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c17…5e9bbacked No60c4,922$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes2c4,847$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.323327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes2c4,686$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95517.8%4 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes6c4,615$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes7c3,755$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.24244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes41c3,146$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296355.7%2 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes38c2,820$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.165226.9%14 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c2,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes27c2,572$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No72c2,420$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c2,304$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…9486backed Yes29c2,196$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes10c2,157$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c2,085$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.51306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes28c2,065$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c2,024$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.3746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes10c1,872$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.49258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No78c1,817$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.594951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes27c1,723$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.57166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-91.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes41c1,709$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No78c1,699$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.167040%28 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d46…dcd1backed Yes2c1,672$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No73c1,599$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.82922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-63.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a4…17abbacked Yes29c1,590$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f5…c806backed Yes42c1,576$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.541729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed No63c1,548$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c1,400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No66c1,381$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.3823319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed No59c1,359$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No65c1,272$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.55565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes24c1,257$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes12c1,226$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.114918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes41c1,216$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No71c1,141$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes13c1,130$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-86.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No59c1,000$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+257.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f73…bb9ebacked No58c999.99$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4191428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes39c956.81$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd4…5416backed Yes42c954.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb15…9483backed Yes21c833.34$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed No72c827.89$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Yes26c763.09$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Yes11c761.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes28c747.05$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2098118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No71c615.71$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.712669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No63c501.49$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.986958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed Yes39c498.48$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.91625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe05a…e914backed Yes18c477.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f8…5c46backed Yes42c463.17$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ee…cbe9backed Yes36c398.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes41c380.73$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes7c378.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No77c374.21$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.789742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes22c365.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6113739.4%54 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes41c360.68$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No72c352.07$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.744035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No51c339.43$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.778756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes40c334.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes25c330$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.182725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes21c325.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae11…2d01backed Yes27c312.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4455…4cd9backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Yes17c296.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd62…5bb3backed Yes6c277.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes19c243.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.343046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes22c238.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.593414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes22c228.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9536…369bbacked Yes21c225.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes7c223.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152825%7 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No59c217.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.357062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes25c200.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes30c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf96c…9014backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes12c187.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.964613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes7c184.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No59c178.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.455341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No74c175.32$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.114379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+42.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes24c175.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.034710.6%5 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes9c163.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Yes41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Yes26c140$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Yes19c139.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-79.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No75c129.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287c…d68fbacked Yes41c121.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+127.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No47c119.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.731010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-78.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Yes30c114.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4840…be60backed Yes23c111.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.