NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c14d0bc96e3c60d35f6a2200ffa98f62af25e695559498f8939e08e1601cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Bulls | 50c | 8,000$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.05 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…a782backed Cavaliers | 2c | 7,050$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls | 25c | 6,990$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.39 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Cavaliers | 75c | 4,800$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 29c | 4,298$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.48 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 38c | 3,830$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cavaliers | 70c | 2,432$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.49 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 24c | 2,089$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.41 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 2,081$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 2,076$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.16 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Cavaliers | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.97 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bulls | 26c | 1,912$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.15 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,575$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.75 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,387$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.04 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 18c | 1,360$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Bulls | 30c | 1,312$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.74 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Bulls | 25c | 1,254$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bulls | 26c | 1,185$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.86 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bulls | 25c | 1,183$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.09 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Bulls | 41c | 1,147$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,132$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Bulls | 37c | 1,078$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 1,054$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.12 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Bulls | 24c | 1,011$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Bulls | 26c | 1,002$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.48 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Bulls | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…ee42backed Bulls | 25c | 999.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Bulls | 18c | 871.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.55 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Cavaliers | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bulls | 23c | 784.19$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.16 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked Cavaliers | 75c | 773.33$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bulls | 23c | 637.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.18 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Bulls | 29c | 614.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.4 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bulls | 27c | 610.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.35 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Bulls | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Cavaliers | 75c | 599.17$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.38 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bulls | 35c | 579.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cavaliers | 68c | 562.64$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bulls | 51c | 560$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.7 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 527.56$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Bulls | 26c | 520.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cavaliers | 74c | 513.63$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.05 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bulls | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 456$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 452.26$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 448.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.68 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 439.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…1e03backed Bulls | 21c | 425.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 401.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Bulls | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bulls | 27c | 400$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 399.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Bulls | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bulls | 26c | 374.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Cavaliers | 75c | 348.96$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bulls | 25c | 346.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…6caebacked Bulls | 15c | 325.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +585.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cavaliers | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cavaliers | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Bulls | 26c | 298.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…4cc5backed Bulls | 26c | 295.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Bulls | 13c | 279.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 30c | 272.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Cavaliers | 76c | 264.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…51f1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 252.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…9d6ebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 249.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…a6babacked Bulls | 26c | 247.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Bulls | 26c | 243$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 242.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Bulls | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Bulls | 33c | 228.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Cavaliers | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 203.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Bulls | 25c | 200.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Bulls | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4a02backed Cavaliers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…40afbacked Bulls | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Cavaliers | 75c | 199.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bulls | 26c | 197.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…768dbacked Bulls | 22c | 197.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Bulls | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Bulls | 26c | 180.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Bulls | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 77c | 167.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Bulls | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Bulls | 26c | 154.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…99d0backed Cavaliers | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Bulls | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Bulls | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…744cbacked Bulls | 17c | 143.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +473.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Bulls | 18c | 137.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.