NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadcd5d7d1864327a55fc912e958197f3c6ca37730c5ec05b2505d96ffea3e6c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Flames | 32c | 36,505$11,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,823.64 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Oilers | 68c | 35,833$24,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,276.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 67c | 35,283$23,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,716.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Flames | 33c | 24,444$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,377.48 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Oilers | 68c | 15,000$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.99 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flames | 17c | 14,541$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,075.15 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Flames | 39c | 13,403$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,174.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Flames | 33c | 12,084$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,084.06 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.96 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 67c | 8,000$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.91 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 18c | 7,256$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.1 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Flames | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flames | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Flames | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Flames | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Oilers | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.88 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Oilers | 67c | 4,953$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.51 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Flames | 32c | 3,890$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Flames | 35c | 3,705$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.31 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flames | 38c | 3,574$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.34 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,189$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 67c | 3,063$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.21 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Oilers | 60c | 2,510$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flames | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Oilers | 67c | 2,311$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 63cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 73c | 2,081$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Oilers | 62c | 2,051$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oilers | 55c | 1,997$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.41 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Flames | 33c | 1,984$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.54 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers | 73c | 1,683$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.64 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed Oilers | 67c | 1,569$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked Flames | 33c | 1,568$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 33c | 1,510$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.18 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 32c | 1,494$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.77 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Flames | 34c | 1,485$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 27c | 1,383$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.23 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 64c | 1,098$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.7 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 33c | 1,074$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.58 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flames | 9c | 1,016$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.16 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Oilers | 60c | 1,015$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 32c | 999.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers | 52c | 995$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 32c | 898.16$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.75 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Oilers | 67c | 889$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.63 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Flames | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Flames | 5c | 851.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Flames | 41c | 774.89$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flames | 26c | 770.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Flames | 34c | 746.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked Oilers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Oilers | 68c | 710.9$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Oilers | 68c | 675.6$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.41 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 57c | 660$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 33c | 567.26$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Flames | 33c | 500$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.5 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flames | 35c | 491.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.12 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Flames | 34c | 473.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Flames | 43c | 461.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Oilers | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Oilers | 63c | 434.03$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…3399backed Oilers | 67c | 421$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 31c | 412.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.94 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 68c | 408.85$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Flames | 40c | 371.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…0054backed Oilers | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Oilers | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Flames | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Oilers | 66c | 349.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Oilers | 68c | 322.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Flames | 32c | 320.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Flames | 10c | 317.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 33c | 307$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.69 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Flames | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…452bbacked Flames | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Oilers | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Oilers | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…f6a5backed Flames | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Oilers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers | 70c | 284.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Flames | 32c | 279.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Oilers | 60c | 277.48$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Flames | 31c | 268.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Oilers | 67c | 265.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Oilers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Flames | 24c | 247.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Flames | 32c | 243$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Oilers | 75c | 236.49$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Oilers | 68c | 200.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oilers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Flames | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flames | 34c | 199$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Flames | 18c | 194.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Flames | 36c | 190.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Oilers | 61c | 164.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flames | 33c | 162$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Flames | 19c | 158.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Oilersthis page
- Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.