TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins44c59,378$26,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,063.949340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rangers56c25,555$14,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,244.24944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Penguins31c9,557$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2004450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Penguins44c3,620$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.8489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers57c3,377$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.951,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers67c3,095$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.2592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers57c2,766$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.3857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Penguins43c2,712$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.162626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Penguins43c2,398$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.2164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Rangers57c2,003$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.272857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Rangers57c1,708$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.332642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rangers70c1,588$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.444753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec6…a530backed Penguins40c1,371$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.151533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67ec…eb2dbacked Rangers57c1,262$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.741580%12 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Penguins24c1,251$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.811950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Rangers56c1,185$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.4437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers57c1,044$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.861,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins44c1,011$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.721,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Penguins42c998.18$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.2414253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Rangers57c973.21$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.4815646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Rangers76c884.36$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.076764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Penguins43c749.97$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4921750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rangers57c749.95$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.485240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers67c666.03$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2233,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Penguins43c608.36$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.515040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers55c566.57$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.41,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Penguins8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Penguins43c399.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9921147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins9c396.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers68c392.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Rangers57c388$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers57c386.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2116743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penguins9c373.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.659149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers61c370$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.652172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Penguins41c368.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Penguins32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13275946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rangers58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12636652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins13c257.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.761,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers56c249.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9974951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Rangers73c241.1$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.13754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Penguins20c225.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454015%6 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Penguins43c225.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1612348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers59c205.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins43c201$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.431,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x117d…7010backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…d1bfbacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…b885backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f3…a721backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a0…f7a9backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…d8cebacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d87…7c90backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd35…1ab1backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862564%16 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0622…8f43backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ac…9105backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a9e…54a8backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd1…f50fbacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e1…998bbacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…c687backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…2764backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36c…5bbbbacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe85…ea58backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7da…de45backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49ca…e23fbacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf54b…7100backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…63b9backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11aa…c28fbacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aac…7fa5backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ed…07e4backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2460…860bbacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdfa4…fb18backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33de…109ebacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5adc…8e02backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fca…20b5backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d23…20a9backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf131…7d63backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88a…f72ebacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d4…7ef9backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3e…d0a6backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24f8…ec6cbacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a2…c1f2backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7998…2992backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7a…b67ebacked Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72bf…087fbacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+55.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe21…fdb5backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d1…993ebacked Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…77e2backed Rangers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+55.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88dc…c660backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc022…0c88backed Penguins43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.