TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,180,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,212,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 850 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Rangers44c547,549$242,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,637.849340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Oilers55c132,810$73,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,584.7830848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Rangers45c116,000$52,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,20014057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Oilers56c89,667$50,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,453.482369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Oilers56c80,000$44,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,50056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Oilers55c77,777$42,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,221.874944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers76c54,839$41,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,192.2926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Oilers55c51,894$28,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,204.4413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Oilers55c50,000$27,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,5004949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers54c48,594$26,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,353.1517448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers55c35,391$19,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,925.7621755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers56c32,135$17,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,145.7158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Oilers56c28,804$16,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,673.9216743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Oilers56c23,013$12,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,091.472642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Oilers55c20,750$11,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,433.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rangers44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Oilers55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7503053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Oilers57c14,799$8,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,308.423158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers44c12,685$5,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,581.615644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers27c11,546$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.731,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Oilers55c10,109$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,55110451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Oilers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5005745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oilers55c8,886$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.122,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Oilers55c7,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3756737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Oilers56c7,500$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9524945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers56c6,216$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.041,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Rangers44c5,633$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.514242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers54c5,500$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,53032251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers56c5,220$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.511,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Rangers43c5,092$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.668746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Oilers56c5,009$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.962669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9931654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers41c4,762$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.8692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Oilers75c4,334$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.518520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rangers36c3,892$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.424753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers62c3,269$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.842,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers36c3,219$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.241,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb1…8455backed Oilers76c3,211$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers55c3,192$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Oilers56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.575253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Rangers45c2,667$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Rangers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…8d01backed Oilers56c2,111$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Rangers44c2,077$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.0789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers55c2,050$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.4997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Rangers24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Oilers55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9914253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Oilers56c1,987$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.9287447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers28c1,934$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.8389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers55c1,909$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.0552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers43c1,900$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers43c1,818$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.1769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5911…332abacked Rangers44c1,657$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9df…70f1backed Oilers57c1,656$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…07babacked Rangers44c1,655$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd138…70edbacked Oilers57c1,655$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Oilers56c1,536$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.7111950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers43c1,532$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.6640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Rangers45c1,510$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Oilers55c1,385$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Oilers76c1,375$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Oilers55c1,299$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.395448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers43c1,235$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.949242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Oilers54c1,087$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Oilers56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4324347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe87…3359backed Rangers46c1,034$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers56c1,024$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Rangers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Oilers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Oilers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers44c999.98$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…6474backed Oilers57c990.35$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ef…3b2dbacked Oilers57c979.63$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47f…9d8ebacked Oilers56c960.71$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…6e3cbacked Oilers56c889.29$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Rangers45c791.11$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35626946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers34c789.79$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.171,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers43c780.88$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ec…eb2dbacked Oilers56c774.37$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.721580%12 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Oilers56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33015448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed Oilers55c749.98$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.492751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Oilers55c724.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Oilers58c689.78$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2110565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4e…3313backed Oilers56c583.93$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Oilers73c574.73$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers42c564$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers31c560.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Rangers47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Rangers47c487.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9448050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Rangers40c475.4$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.185431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers43c457.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.651,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14833848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Oilers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.146139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.