MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6a51a5a4f583342a2bb91c58138598de63a6e14c0eb102accd93bb0535aefe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,999,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,081,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,999,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb980…ae18backed Blue Jays | 39c | 1,100,530$429,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671,323.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Blue Jays | 40c | 454,162$181,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,497.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yankees | 61c | 288,910$176,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,075.78 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees | 60c | 283,855$171,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,313 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yankees | 51c | 264,853$134,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,296.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 61c | 150,657$91,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,894.25 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yankees | 61c | 145,000$88,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,150 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yankees | 62c | 81,503$50,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,546.89 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 38c | 80,000$30,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,599.83 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 60c | 76,200$45,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,720 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yankees | 60c | 70,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 74c | 59,706$44,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,374.08 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 60c | 44,706$26,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,997.71 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 52c | 39,737$20,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,713.44 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Yankees | 48c | 35,162$16,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,972.4 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 38c | 33,471$12,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,752.04 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Yankees | 37c | 30,436$11,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,176.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yankees | 60c | 24,273$14,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,660.77 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yankees | 62c | 24,194$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 37c | 23,965$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,139.53 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 61c | 23,669$14,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,422.85 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Yankees | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yankees | 21c | 18,088$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.44 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 54c | 16,416$8,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,473.39 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yankees | 48c | 14,424$6,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,881.73 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Yankees | 60c | 14,085$8,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.6 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yankees | 4c | 14,050$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yankees | 61c | 13,630$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 62c | 13,158$8,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yankees | 16c | 12,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Yankees | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yankees | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 61c | 11,657$7,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.23 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees | 38c | 11,200$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 61c | 10,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yankees | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 9,718$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yankees | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 71c | 7,973$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.56 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…eaedbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 7,935$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yankees | 60c | 7,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 61c | 6,787$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 14c | 6,497$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 6,087$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.06 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 54c | 6,042$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.47 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 61c | 5,871$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.96 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yankees | 61c | 5,749$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yankees | 60c | 5,540$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.84 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…09b4backed Blue Jays | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yankees | 60c | 5,092$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Blue Jays | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yankees | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.88 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Yankees | 60c | 4,527$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yankees | 36c | 4,359$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 68c | 4,234$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.22 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yankees | 49c | 4,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Yankees | 59c | 4,034$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 48c | 3,352$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.17 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…fe2dbacked Yankees | 61c | 3,284$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…8618backed Yankees | 61c | 3,284$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yankees | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,224$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.78 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yankees | 61c | 3,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jays | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.95 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yankees | 44c | 2,955$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.12 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 53c | 2,945$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Blue Jays | 37c | 2,736$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.96 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 2,700$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yankees | 10c | 2,664$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yankees | 60c | 2,610$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.75 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 2,579$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.25 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Blue Jays | 39c | 2,573$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.45 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…27a6backed Yankees | 61c | 2,458$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yankees | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 48c | 2,391$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 2,333$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees | 1c | 2,304$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 60c | 2,206$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.64 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 2,079$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yankees | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.02 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yankees | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yankees | 29c | 1,980$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.1 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,825$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,806$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.52 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 7c | 1,800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d720backed Yankees | 63c | 1,792$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Blue Jays | 38c | 1,791$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yankees | 22c | 1,776$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 30c | 1,683$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0c…9d66backed Blue Jays | 39c | 1,668$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yankees | 61c | 1,651$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,589$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Blue Jays | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Yankees | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 1c | 1,488$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.