College Football · resolved market
Army vs. Tulane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c72088ae739f69c953653573ac8da194ad7737a8aef4ca1cd9e59b33e1de4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Army, Tulane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Army | 24c | 11,384$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.16 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tulane | 76c | 3,936$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.66 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Army | 37c | 2,856$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.88 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tulane | 76c | 2,797$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.36 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Tulane | 40c | 2,376$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Tulane | 76c | 2,103$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.71 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane | 76c | 1,903$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulane | 65c | 1,843$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.95 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Army | 24c | 1,400$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Army | 23c | 1,257$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tulane | 76c | 1,228$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Army | 45c | 886$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.7 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tulane | 76c | 807$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Army | 71c | 728.33$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.9 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Tulane | 77c | 623.38$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Army | 22c | 564.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…dca6backed Tulane | 77c | 464.87$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulane | 77c | 450.08$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Army | 23c | 444.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Army | 41c | 440.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Army | 37c | 383.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Army | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Army | 58c | 283$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Tulane | 53c | 240.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tulane | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…eb54backed Army | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Army | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Tulane | 76c | 202.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Army | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Army | 23c | 197$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tulane | 62c | 192.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…2c5abacked Tulane | 37c | 159.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd34…140dbacked Tulane | 21c | 154$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Army | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tulane | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tulane | 79c | 144$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Tulane | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Tulane | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Army | 41c | 120.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Army | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Tulane | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…f6adbacked Army | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Tulane | 59c | 93.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Army | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…73c0backed Army | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…31ddbacked Tulane | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Tulane | 57c | 77.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Tulane | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…b850backed Tulane | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Tulane | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…0cfcbacked Tulane | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Tulane | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tulane | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Tulane | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Tulane | 57c | 51.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Tulane | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Army | 23c | 45.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tulane | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tulane | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulane | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Tulane | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…3f15backed Tulane | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca8…4f41backed Tulane | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…7e55backed Tulane | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…6e26backed Tulane | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Army | 64c | 26.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Tulane | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bad…08a1backed Tulane | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Tulane | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Tulane | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Tulane | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bfe5backed Tulane | 68c | 25.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…63c6backed Tulane | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army vs. Tulanethis page
- O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Tulane (-10.5)Army won
- Spread: Tulane (-9.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.