TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x585e…73c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.01
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.08
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$71.15
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$58.8
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.3
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.48
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.8
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.6
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$28.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.77
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$29.47
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ALLINNERS (BO3)backed ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia vs. North Carolinabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$220
Army vs. Tulanebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$52.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1)backed MI Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.