NHL · resolved market
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x201736e5f200065f473226cd95980e154d798578df60cd3766774c78e70021c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Amur Khabarovsk, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x585e…73c0backed Amur Khabarovsk | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…adc2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Amur Khabarovsk | 29c | 201.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 80.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 79.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 67c | 63.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Amur Khabarovsk | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Amur Khabarovsk | 30c | 59.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Amur Khabarovsk | 28c | 55.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…813dbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 36.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.