Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20653d83e78f639854e327d359b98e610a7a5678eb5165accbdc849fefb131fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 17,629$9,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,472.47 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 51c | 15,600$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,955.94 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 48c | 8,473$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.04 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 47c | 6,847$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.58 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed No | 47c | 6,829$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 49c | 5,303$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.53 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 51c | 2,566$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.3 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 57c | 2,377$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 26c | 1,181$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 1,114$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.42 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 741.81$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 712.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.45 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 702.46$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.43 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 630.92$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.04 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 51c | 574.16$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.34 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 571.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 76c | 524.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 48c | 499.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 52c | 371.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 18c | 370.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 46c | 362.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 47c | 358.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed No | 47c | 346.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 328$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 53c | 238$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…80f0backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 50c | 196.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 53c | 173.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked No | 14c | 166.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 163$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 52c | 159.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 17c | 127.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 41c | 112$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 52c | 110.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…73c0backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 95.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 53c | 93.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 91.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 38c | 85.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed Yes | 50c | 78.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 51c | 72.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 33c | 59.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed No | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 41c | 39.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 59c | 38.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 41c | 33.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Yes | 56c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Yes | 52c | 31.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 44c | 27.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked No | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 50c | 25.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 53c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 53c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will Rīga FC vs. ETO FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.