Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x591c03aed76d2d1cd0c999498e5027819af52545665a841efedaaf3a3fbdcb92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 3c | 915.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 12c | 834.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 756.28$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 672.79$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 413.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 26c | 408.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 378.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 340$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 318.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 303.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 22c | 198.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 27c | 164.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 26c | 99.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 84.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 78.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 58.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 68c | 54.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 32c | 48.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 35c | 37.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 33c | 30.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Rīga FC vs. ETO FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.