Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba4cfc0c4c4349a89ed6dd8699349de71cf84cc4544edc48876bbf4487a964f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MI Emiratesof Abu Dhabi Knight Riders, MI Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked MI Emirates | 50c | 1,584$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.86 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 50c | 1,518$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.22 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…9648backed MI Emirates | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…e59bbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…bcffbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…66febacked MI Emirates | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…1bf6backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 50c | 83.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db3ebacked MI Emirates | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…80f0backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…73c0backed MI Emirates | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…15d7backed MI Emirates | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders | 45c | 37.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Emirates | 51c | 32.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MI Emirates | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…35e8backed MI Emirates | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.