CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ALLINNERS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab037eb935f56ce9c2fdbca618979d2186efc6e6da13bb709259aeb33dbfb02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof Team Novaq, ALLINNERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ALLINNERS | 32c | 8,592$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.76 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Novaq | 67c | 3,491$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ALLINNERS | 23c | 2,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.48 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed ALLINNERS | 19c | 1,639$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…d8cdbacked ALLINNERS | 37c | 1,339$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ALLINNERS | 35c | 999.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…f1c7backed ALLINNERS | 24c | 912.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed ALLINNERS | 23c | 911.87$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Team Novaq | 75c | 835$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Novaq | 65c | 690$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked ALLINNERS | 30c | 555.29$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed ALLINNERS | 5c | 493.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked ALLINNERS | 40c | 457.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed ALLINNERS | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ALLINNERS | 12c | 379.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked ALLINNERS | 32c | 358.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Novaq | 67c | 356.35$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…6514backed Team Novaq | 64c | 354.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Novaq | 61c | 346.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed ALLINNERS | 39c | 302.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed ALLINNERS | 30c | 271.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Novaq | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ALLINNERS | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked ALLINNERS | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked ALLINNERS | 26c | 199.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed ALLINNERS | 7c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed Team Novaq | 78c | 158.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…9177backed Team Novaq | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Novaq | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…73c0backed ALLINNERS | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked ALLINNERS | 23c | 127.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Novaq | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed ALLINNERS | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Team Novaq | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Team Novaq | 65c | 97.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ALLINNERS | 13c | 93.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed ALLINNERS | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…61b9backed ALLINNERS | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…41e9backed Team Novaq | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Novaq | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…ec74backed ALLINNERS | 14c | 77.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Team Novaq | 65c | 76.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…acbcbacked ALLINNERS | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed ALLINNERS | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 64c | 61.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Team Novaq | 64c | 59.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked ALLINNERS | 39c | 58.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Team Novaq | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Team Novaq | 66c | 49.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ALLINNERS | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked ALLINNERS | 39c | 46.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Team Novaq | 64c | 45.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Novaq | 60c | 42.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed ALLINNERS | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked ALLINNERS | 38c | 29.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ALLINNERS | 40c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…a5f9backed Team Novaq | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…5399backed ALLINNERS | 50c | 27.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Team Novaq | 70c | 25.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…7ad5backed ALLINNERS | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed ALLINNERS | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…c55dbacked ALLINNERS | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed Team Novaq | 65c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Team Novaq | 69c | 23.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked Team Novaq | 67c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…f634backed Team Novaq | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.