College Football · resolved market
Virginia vs. North Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961faee7b7ab6cae6bdc3095f1e14124267f0518e24e5a54e0a2f5830ea4cd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Virginia, North Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia | 76c | 31,085$23,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.04 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed North Carolina | 20c | 17,623$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.84 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked North Carolina | 20c | 17,593$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.15 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Virginia | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia | 67c | 11,974$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.93 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked North Carolina | 21c | 9,300$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia | 80c | 8,316$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.2 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Carolina | 21c | 8,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked North Carolina | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed North Carolina | 30c | 7,096$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.49 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia | 64c | 7,031$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.25 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked North Carolina | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Virginia | 70c | 6,000$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Virginia | 79c | 5,041$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.51 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina | 31c | 4,704$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.48 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Virginia | 66c | 4,577$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Carolina | 24c | 4,450$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.45 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Virginia | 79c | 3,632$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.58 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia | 77c | 3,178$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.98 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina | 36c | 3,098$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.33 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed North Carolina | 21c | 2,286$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.13 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked North Carolina | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed North Carolina | 23c | 2,250$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked North Carolina | 21c | 2,181$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.92 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked North Carolina | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed North Carolina | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Virginia | 74c | 1,959$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia | 72c | 1,802$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Virginia | 79c | 1,731$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.51 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked North Carolina | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…87ccbacked North Carolina | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed North Carolina | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…73c0backed Virginia | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia | 77c | 1,054$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.48 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…46dbbacked North Carolina | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf507…b7d1backed Virginia | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…e89bbacked Virginia | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Virginia | 73c | 885.56$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia | 79c | 861.65$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked North Carolina | 21c | 800.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Virginia | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…4ec7backed Virginia | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed North Carolina | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked North Carolina | 21c | 675.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db3ebacked North Carolina | 21c | 650$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Virginia | 79c | 509$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f6e0backed Virginia | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Virginia | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…3e55backed Virginia | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Virginia | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina | 35c | 499$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked North Carolina | 17c | 480.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed North Carolina | 33c | 473.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed North Carolina | 15c | 466$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Virginia | 79c | 462$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Virginia | 65c | 455.14$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…73a5backed North Carolina | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked North Carolina | 34c | 437.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed North Carolina | 32c | 416.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Virginia | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed North Carolina | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…293abacked North Carolina | 36c | 383.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed North Carolina | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Virginia | 77c | 323.04$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed North Carolina | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina | 21c | 310$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed North Carolina | 42c | 306.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Virginia | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked North Carolina | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked North Carolina | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked North Carolina | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed North Carolina | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked North Carolina | 20c | 299.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed North Carolina | 22c | 282.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…96aebacked North Carolina | 21c | 280$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f9…0c6abacked Virginia | 79c | 280$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Virginia | 79c | 269.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Virginia | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Virginia | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked North Carolina | 24c | 253$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed North Carolina | 21c | 239.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked North Carolina | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Carolina | 21c | 231.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked North Carolina | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed North Carolina | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed North Carolina | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Virginia | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked North Carolina | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Virginia | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed North Carolina | 22c | 167.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed North Carolina | 14c | 151.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked North Carolina | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked North Carolina | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Virginia | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked North Carolina | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Virginia | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Virginia | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Virginia | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed North Carolina | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…d96ebacked Virginia | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia vs. North Carolinathis page
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia (-10.5)North Carolina won
- Virginia vs. North Carolina: O/U 51.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.