College Football · resolved market
Illinois vs. Indiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166dc50db4bd8ff277a1873b179e5ab33a2f1b0b150530fc2288de32bf604c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Illinois, Indiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Illinois | 31c | 225,780$71,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,021.8 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Indiana | 68c | 194,606$133,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,402.19 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois | 32c | 60,012$19,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,332.83 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Illinois | 31c | 56,945$17,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,597.23 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Indiana | 68c | 55,029$37,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,360 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Indiana | 75c | 43,263$32,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,946.65 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Illinois | 30c | 30,145$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.71 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Indiana | 69c | 29,760$20,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256.59 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Indiana | 69c | 29,736$20,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,258.51 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Illinois | 24c | 25,024$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.14 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Indiana | 71c | 23,643$16,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.16 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Indiana | 69c | 20,179$13,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,339.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…beb3backed Illinois | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois | 26c | 15,458$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Indiana | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Indiana | 75c | 14,482$10,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.92 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois | 31c | 13,589$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.22 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Indiana | 68c | 7,176$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.08 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Indiana | 71c | 5,598$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.47 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Indiana | 70c | 5,340$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Illinois | 1c | 5,163$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…df31backed Illinois | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Indiana | 79c | 4,285$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.89 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Indiana | 68c | 3,704$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.32 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Illinois | 2c | 3,150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Illinois | 20c | 3,150$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.73 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Indiana | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Indiana | 67c | 2,803$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.18 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Indiana | 69c | 2,627$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.05 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Illinois | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Indiana | 73c | 2,321$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.11 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed Illinois | 13c | 2,070$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Illinois | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana | 70c | 1,980$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.88 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois | 27c | 1,928$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.08 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Indiana | 65c | 1,844$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.22 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Indiana | 68c | 1,710$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Indiana | 68c | 1,695$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Indiana | 67c | 1,584$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.12 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Illinois | 27c | 1,584$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Indiana | 70c | 1,537$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Illinois | 23c | 1,532$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.76 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Illinois | 32c | 1,500$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.98 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Illinois | 29c | 1,339$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Illinois | 1c | 1,302$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Illinois | 11c | 1,153$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Illinois | 33c | 1,050$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Illinois | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Illinois | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Illinois | 32c | 999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Illinois | 31c | 900$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Indiana | 72c | 838.13$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Illinois | 26c | 800$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…4581backed Illinois | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Illinois | 22c | 772.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Illinois | 29c | 753$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Illinois | 34c | 731.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Illinois | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Illinois | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana | 75c | 690.31$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Illinois | 34c | 681.26$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Illinois | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Illinois | 26c | 611.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Indiana | 67c | 598.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Indiana | 71c | 568.93$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Indiana | 70c | 535$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Illinois | 38c | 524$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Illinois | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Illinois | 32c | 494$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Illinois | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Illinois | 26c | 380.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…5e89backed Illinois | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Illinois | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Illinois | 33c | 299.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Illinois | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Illinois | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Illinois | 28c | 294$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Illinois | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Indiana | 66c | 223.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…b05bbacked Illinois | 31c | 215$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Indiana | 69c | 213.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Indiana | 69c | 208.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Indiana | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Illinois | 32c | 198.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Illinois | 25c | 190$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Illinois | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Illinois | 32c | 177.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Indiana | 71c | 173.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Illinois | 34c | 154.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Indiana | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Illinois | 21c | 145$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Indiana | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Indiana | 71c | 140.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Illinois | 31c | 138.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked Illinois | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…fc46backed Illinois | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Illinois | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…da3bbacked Illinois | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Indiana | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois vs. Indianathis page
- Spread: Indiana (-6.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.