NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d316038ed714b0a12e92a0072fb0d02424142120d3ced12185f15351778c8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Bulls, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 57,331$34,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,160.4 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bulls | 40c | 35,700$14,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,266.6 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 67c | 22,772$15,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.08 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls | 31c | 16,446$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.77 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 4c | 10,525$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.82 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 38c | 9,869$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 9c | 8,831$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.9 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 9c | 8,252$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.75 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 67c | 8,123$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bulls | 6c | 7,973$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.48 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Bulls | 35c | 5,671$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bulls | 39c | 4,644$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.75 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Bulls | 41c | 4,106$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Bulls | 17c | 3,627$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 78c | 3,529$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.35 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bulls | 35c | 3,460$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.15 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 38c | 3,270$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 44c | 3,134$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.64 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Bulls | 35c | 2,862$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Nuggets | 64c | 2,795$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.97 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 0c | 2,627$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Bulls | 44c | 1,922$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.03 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a34…5636backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,887$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 21c | 1,736$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,682$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bulls | 34c | 1,550$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 17c | 1,492$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 2c | 1,325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,280$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.67 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Nuggets | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bulls | 39c | 1,107$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.98 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bulls | 42c | 1,056$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bulls | 35c | 1,050$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.46 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls | 39c | 1,034$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.08 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bulls | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bulls | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.47 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Nuggets | 53c | 992.13$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Bulls | 47c | 990$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Bulls | 41c | 900$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Nuggets | 64c | 874.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 38c | 827.2$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 72c | 800.75$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Bulls | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls | 37c | 749.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Nuggets | 68c | 719.11$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.12 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Bulls | 38c | 684.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.49 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Nuggets | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Nuggets | 67c | 585.6$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Nuggets | 72c | 554.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Bulls | 37c | 536.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nuggets | 60c | 533.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Nuggets | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked Bulls | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Nuggets | 66c | 375.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bulls | 30c | 336$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…5a27backed Nuggets | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bulls | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Bulls | 4c | 292.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets | 68c | 280.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c9ffbacked Bulls | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 43c | 263.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bulls | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Bulls | 39c | 254.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…fbbebacked Bulls | 38c | 246.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Bulls | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bulls | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Bulls | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bulls | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Bulls | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Bulls | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bulls | 39c | 178.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d7…5af0backed Nuggets | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 33c | 136.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Bulls | 43c | 131.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Nuggets | 70c | 120.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Bulls | 21c | 114.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 63c | 112.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Bulls | 42c | 104.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8994…5826backed Bulls | 29c | 100.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…fef6backed Nuggets | 72c | 100.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2431…8c9dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…1cabbacked Bulls | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Nuggets | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 13c | 93.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9581…1232backed Nuggets | 78c | 78.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…4a34backed Nuggets | 60c | 76.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Nuggets | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bulls | 29c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Bulls | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Nuggets | 63c | 71.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 66c | 62.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Nuggets | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bulls | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Bulls | 38c | 53.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Bulls | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…95b5backed Bulls | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.