NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1972d0ee8feb1cf0273fdf6bba3ba96089ff45f5e3cc277c7d48108e7c0bd752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Cavaliers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Cavaliers | 64c | 12,500$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cavaliers | 55c | 10,000$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.91 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Bulls | 36c | 8,249$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.15 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bulls | 43c | 5,216$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.45 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bulls | 50c | 4,349$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.94 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 3,869$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.03 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,714$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.18 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bulls | 38c | 2,595$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 46c | 2,089$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Bulls | 36c | 1,925$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.28 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bulls | 36c | 1,894$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.16 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bulls | 36c | 1,879$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.88 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bulls | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 47c | 1,015$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Bulls | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.7 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 35c | 979.91$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 35c | 783.17$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.35 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 600$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.04 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bulls | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Cavaliers | 65c | 469.48$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 241 | 66.4%160 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Cavaliers | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Cavaliers | 67c | 448.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 36c | 422.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.63 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Bulls | 50c | 332.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 324.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cavaliers | 21c | 306.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bulls | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bulls | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Bulls | 36c | 289.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls | 36c | 286$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bulls | 46c | 254.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bulls | 39c | 249.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Bulls | 36c | 219.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Bulls | 43c | 201.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Cavaliers | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Bulls | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…3657backed Cavaliers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…9037backed Bulls | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…da5ebacked Cavaliers | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Bulls | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Bulls | 37c | 194$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cavaliers | 58c | 169.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 22c | 166$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…2cfdbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fd…3443backed Cavaliers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Cavaliers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Cavaliers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 152.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers | 61c | 145.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Cavaliers | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bulls | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Cavaliers | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bulls | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cavaliers | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bulls | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bulls | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 28c | 85.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Cavaliers | 62c | 80.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bulls | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 36c | 70.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Bulls | 32c | 69.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bulls | 36c | 69.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Cavaliers | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…9bccbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…a435backed Bulls | 38c | 64.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…fd72backed Cavaliers | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Bulls | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Bulls | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…7721backed Cavaliers | 65c | 54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 132 | 36.4%48 W · 84 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bulls | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Bulls | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…fbbcbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 49.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Bulls | 40c | 48.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…7b1bbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 47.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…2363backed Bulls | 38c | 46.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Bulls | 62c | 45.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…e29dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked Bulls | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Bulls | 34c | 33.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…2d45backed Cavaliers | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Cavaliers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Cavaliers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Cavaliers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Bulls | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 230 | 42.6%98 W · 132 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…15fbbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…0ef6backed Bulls | 39c | 29.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Cavaliers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Cavaliers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 54.1%92 W · 78 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Bulls | 64c | 21.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 147 | 64.6%95 W · 52 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bulls | 57c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…5301backed Bulls | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Bullsthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 215.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.