College Football · resolved market
Washington vs. Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde36397d08bf0a52ab241adb8b9aada7fd731c149d824ed4518b72993f0467ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiganof Washington, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington | 37c | 85,255$31,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,474.41 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan | 79c | 19,498$15,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.5 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Michigan | 62c | 17,258$10,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.91 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michigan | 63c | 15,853$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.74 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Michigan | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Washington | 18c | 14,210$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.92 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Michigan | 54c | 7,914$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.45 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Michigan | 69c | 6,234$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.59 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Washington | 28c | 5,394$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.53 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan | 62c | 5,195$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.37 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Michigan | 66c | 4,481$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Michigan | 63c | 4,071$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Washington | 32c | 4,023$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.02 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan | 64c | 3,787$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.62 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Washington | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Michigan | 71c | 2,794$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.03 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Washington | 37c | 2,715$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington | 45c | 2,224$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.71 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Michigan | 63c | 2,205$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Michigan | 56c | 2,170$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.13 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Washington | 38c | 2,158$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Michigan | 64c | 1,944$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.84 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Washington | 37c | 1,628$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…0ca8backed Michigan | 65c | 1,628$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Michigan | 66c | 1,479$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan | 62c | 1,476$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.79 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Washington | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan | 65c | 1,263$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.82 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Michigan | 63c | 1,184$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.11 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Washington | 34c | 1,139$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.64 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Michigan | 64c | 1,095$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Washington | 31c | 1,016$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…874abacked Washington | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Michigan | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Washington | 35c | 969.62$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington | 35c | 910.24$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…b87abacked Washington | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…8f47backed Michigan | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Washington | 36c | 875.83$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…eb4fbacked Washington | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Washington | 38c | 542.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Michigan | 62c | 538$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…2182backed Washington | 44c | 532.85$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Michigan | 66c | 501$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Michigan | 63c | 500.04$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Washington | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Washington | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Washington | 31c | 324$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Michigan | 65c | 317$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bfe5backed Washington | 48c | 306.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Michigan | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Michigan | 65c | 273$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Michigan | 64c | 228.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Michigan | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Washington | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Washington | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Washington | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Michigan | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Michigan | 63c | 183.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Michigan | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed Michigan | 66c | 174.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Michigan | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Michigan | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Michigan | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…9edabacked Washington | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Michigan | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…c1cbbacked Michigan | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…7deabacked Washington | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Washington | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4a…1e04backed Washington | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Michigan | 60c | 122.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan | 66c | 122.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Washington | 49c | 122.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Michigan | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5ed7backed Washington | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…a393backed Washington | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…9629backed Washington | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c61…9875backed Michigan | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…29f4backed Michigan | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…44c1backed Washington | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Michigan | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Michigan | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…b4c1backed Washington | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2c…9c7bbacked Michigan | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…35b1backed Michigan | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed Michigan | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…475bbacked Michigan | 64c | 93.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Washington | 38c | 93.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b85…ab2fbacked Washington | 36c | 92.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Michigan | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Michigan | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Michigan | 57c | 89.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington | 44c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Michigan | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Michigan | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Michigan | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Michigan | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington vs. Michiganthis page
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan (-4.5)Michigan won
- Spread: Michigan (-5.5)Michigan won
- Spread: Michigan (-6.5)Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.