NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x362864c5e21ce40144dc0e5b5ff643d35a078bd0c95478ea6e5731606e80c540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 44,655$31,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,203.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pistons | 29c | 22,375$6,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,488.89 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pistons | 34c | 11,230$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.92 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pistons | 31c | 9,887$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.72 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 6,831$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cavaliers | 71c | 6,572$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.01 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 28c | 5,675$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 19c | 5,524$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.38 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 32c | 5,228$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pistons | 18c | 4,000$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 3,845$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.07 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Pistons | 36c | 2,823$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Cavaliers | 64c | 2,755$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.82 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Pistons | 36c | 2,725$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,158$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.85 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 37c | 2,050$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pistons | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pistons | 36c | 1,533$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.25 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Pistons | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,351$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.15 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pistons | 37c | 1,284$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.82 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Pistons | 40c | 1,262$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 1c | 1,171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,093$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…d6f6backed Pistons | 38c | 1,084$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,078$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pistons | 40c | 1,009$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Pistons | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Pistons | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 62c | 964.62$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.43 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 919$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pistons | 13c | 811.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Cavaliers | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers | 62c | 749.96$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 2c | 679.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 74c | 679.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Cavaliers | 62c | 653.58$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pistons | 33c | 651$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Cavaliers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pistons | 38c | 639.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 3c | 550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Pistons | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…08d9backed Cavaliers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pistons | 35c | 467.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.34 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked Pistons | 17c | 458.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Pistons | 22c | 457.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pistons | 35c | 450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Pistons | 33c | 426.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Pistons | 24c | 414.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Pistons | 26c | 387.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 380$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Pistons | 22c | 374.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Pistons | 27c | 370.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 63c | 355.5$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pistons | 29c | 346.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pistons | 25c | 332$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pistons | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cavaliers | 75c | 278.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Pistons | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons | 28c | 269.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Cavaliers | 75c | 264.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Pistons | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…1f4fbacked Pistons | 39c | 256.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Pistons | 37c | 245$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…08a5backed Cavaliers | 62c | 244.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…698cbacked Pistons | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…5193backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…b903backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…d02ebacked Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…1698backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3d87backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…6d6bbacked Pistons | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.