NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4e3d5635959b249053792b8c96267612ecab34e0d251d130f15dc9d783ee94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 41c | 61,901$25,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,731.98 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 62c | 43,000$26,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,460 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 46c | 21,271$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500.93 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 37c | 15,882$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.16 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Celtics | 58c | 11,967$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.66 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7607backed Celtics | 48c | 5,875$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Celtics | 77c | 5,829$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…8154backed Raptors | 52c | 5,735$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 54c | 4,770$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.98 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Raptors | 33c | 3,727$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Celtics | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 59c | 3,337$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.69 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Raptors | 50c | 3,021$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.78 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Celtics | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Raptors | 7c | 3,000$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Celtics | 53c | 2,749$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Raptors | 37c | 2,491$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Raptors | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.98 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Celtics | 50c | 2,398$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Raptors | 44c | 2,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.17 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Raptors | 53c | 2,281$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.71 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Celtics | 17c | 2,196$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Celtics | 57c | 2,000$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 56c | 1,715$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.61 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 55c | 1,702$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.87 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 15c | 1,618$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 41c | 1,407$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Raptors | 6c | 1,399$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.94 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 38c | 1,355$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.11 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 10c | 1,282$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 41c | 1,215$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Raptors | 42c | 1,133$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.31 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 31c | 1,089$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.26 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Celtics | 58c | 1,015$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 16c | 1,000$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.57 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…40afbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…197ebacked Celtics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Celtics | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Celtics | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…6bbbbacked Celtics | 58c | 989.81$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Celtics | 58c | 950$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 51c | 922.65$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.1 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…f2e2backed Raptors | 51c | 899.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Raptors | 18c | 866.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.76 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Celtics | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Raptors | 43c | 749.4$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 47c | 740$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Raptors | 52c | 720.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Raptors | 33c | 690$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.5 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Raptors | 51c | 686.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…54bebacked Raptors | 52c | 665$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Raptors | 31c | 651.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.35 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Celtics | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Raptors | 31c | 573.11$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…376fbacked Celtics | 49c | 548.67$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Celtics | 64c | 519.22$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Celtics | 12c | 500.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 49c | 497.47$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics | 59c | 496.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Celtics | 48c | 459.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Raptors | 47c | 455.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Raptors | 70c | 430.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 39c | 422.88$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Celtics | 48c | 416.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Celtics | 50c | 396.49$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…65dcbacked Celtics | 48c | 376.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Celtics | 49c | 333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…5da5backed Raptors | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Celtics | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Raptors | 33c | 311.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Raptors | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Raptors | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Celtics | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Raptors | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…bb11backed Raptors | 13c | 299.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +673.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…669cbacked Celtics | 48c | 288.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Raptors | 4c | 271.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Raptors | 6c | 269.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 53c | 266.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Celtics | 50c | 265.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Raptors | 40c | 251.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Celtics | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Raptors | 7c | 228.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…a28fbacked Celtics | 49c | 226.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Celtics | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…9bccbacked Raptors | 52c | 215.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Celtics | 47c | 212.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Raptors | 7c | 209.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors | 51c | 204.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Celtics | 49c | 202.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Raptors | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Raptorsthis page
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.