NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38272f46dfbd17cd5c3116887b9e5df158d8a1cd16f5cceb1c94906bbe68259c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PHOof Lakers, PHO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 57c | 22,011$12,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,465.04 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed PHO | 24c | 10,368$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,867.62 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Lakers | 75c | 8,927$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.49 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed PHO | 28c | 6,941$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Lakers | 30c | 6,861$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.43 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Lakers | 49c | 5,928$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed PHO | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.84 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Lakers | 76c | 4,754$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.15 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed PHO | 33c | 3,980$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Lakers | 58c | 3,258$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed PHO | 38c | 3,062$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.69 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed PHO | 47c | 2,974$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.71 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed PHO | 25c | 2,919$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Lakers | 75c | 2,919$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed PHO | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed PHO | 9c | 2,328$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.17 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 71c | 2,321$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.13 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed PHO | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed PHO | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed PHO | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.99 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed PHO | 35c | 1,896$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.11 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Lakers | 78c | 1,844$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PHO | 35c | 1,503$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked PHO | 25c | 1,402$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.52 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed PHO | 39c | 1,391$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.49 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked PHO | 26c | 1,350$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed PHO | 17c | 1,280$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked PHO | 79c | 1,200$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Lakers | 16c | 1,100$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed PHO | 15c | 1,100$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked PHO | 26c | 1,066$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 69c | 1,048$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.55 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 74c | 925$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed PHO | 65c | 875.55$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked PHO | 69c | 792.32$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Lakers | 75c | 786$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked PHO | 12c | 763.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.26 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed PHO | 14c | 731.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.69 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed PHO | 6c | 703.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 78c | 694.44$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.66 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 60c | 687.64$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.63 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed PHO | 24c | 653.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.06 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed PHO | 26c | 620$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.8 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed PHO | 10c | 603.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.45 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed PHO | 7c | 600$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Lakers | 41c | 599$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.59 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lakers | 41c | 593.24$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed PHO | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked PHO | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed PHO | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed PHO | 79c | 480$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed PHO | 26c | 462.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked PHO | 75c | 452.63$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 74c | 451.54$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.14 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PHO | 22c | 433.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Lakers | 56c | 433.03$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed PHO | 26c | 430.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Lakers | 76c | 430.26$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed PHO | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed PHO | 49c | 387.46$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed PHO | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed PHO | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers | 6c | 384.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed PHO | 72c | 382.03$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed PHO | 11c | 376.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.84 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked PHO | 20c | 374.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.33 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked PHO | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…c36cbacked Lakers | 76c | 350$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…aefabacked PHO | 24c | 350$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked PHO | 23c | 333$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Lakers | 38c | 319.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lakers | 75c | 300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked PHO | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Lakers | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed PHO | 78c | 264.25$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed PHO | 12c | 253.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lakers | 21c | 241$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Lakers | 76c | 237.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Lakers | 75c | 225$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…4be3backed PHO | 23c | 213.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed PHO | 25c | 200.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked PHO | 26c | 193.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lakers | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Lakers | 75c | 176$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed PHO | 13c | 174.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked PHO | 25c | 169.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed PHO | 22c | 161.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked PHO | 24c | 158$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed PHO | 66c | 153.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Lakers | 58c | 153.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed PHO | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked PHO | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked PHO | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…05babacked Lakers | 76c | 130.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked Lakers | 21c | 122.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked PHO | 24c | 121$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Lakers | 78c | 120.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked PHO | 27c | 116$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked PHO | 31c | 108$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Lakers | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.