NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x762953ba63b9f5de9d826cc534cdeae4504a6d626c7d62ab74d699cb8b3bc7fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Wizards, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,126,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,126,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Wizards | 22c | 848,312$184,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,515.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks | 78c | 270,000$210,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,400 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bucks | 78c | 84,401$65,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,568.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards | 10c | 60,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.97 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Bucks | 78c | 56,551$44,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,242.18 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Bucks | 79c | 52,086$41,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.93 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 78c | 49,092$38,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800.15 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bucks | 79c | 47,286$37,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.03 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 80c | 40,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 80c | 36,562$29,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,430.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bucks | 78c | 36,000$28,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Bucks | 78c | 35,000$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 79c | 29,920$23,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.51 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucks | 79c | 28,584$22,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.18 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks | 79c | 24,050$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 80c | 21,914$17,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.57 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Wizards | 20c | 21,189$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.86 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 11c | 17,511$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 78c | 11,500$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 2c | 10,167$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Wizards | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bucks | 79c | 9,994$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.3 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bucks | 80c | 9,340$7,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 78c | 8,470$6,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks | 78c | 7,191$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.51 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wizards | 1c | 6,647$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 78c | 5,025$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.65 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Bucks | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks | 79c | 4,807$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.16 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 6c | 4,579$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 20c | 4,074$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.87 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 2c | 4,002$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Wizards | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bucks | 78c | 3,246$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.38 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 8c | 3,233$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 21c | 3,041$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.25 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wizards | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…f455backed Wizards | 3c | 2,661$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 78c | 2,502$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Wizards | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Bucks | 80c | 1,875$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 79c | 1,799$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.91 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Wizards | 7c | 1,530$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Wizards | 2c | 1,489$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wizards | 22c | 1,448$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.51 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 78c | 1,442$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Wizards | 20c | 1,421$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 78c | 1,415$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.3 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Bucks | 80c | 1,414$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Bucks | 79c | 1,250$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Wizards | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…a4f8backed Wizards | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Bucks | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Bucks | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bucks | 78c | 1,000$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Wizards | 20c | 999.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Wizards | 21c | 952.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 78c | 897$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Wizards | 17c | 852.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 21c | 850.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed Bucks | 79c | 786.38$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bucks | 79c | 760.98$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Bucks | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Bucks | 78c | 705$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Bucks | 79c | 693$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Bucks | 79c | 681.7$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Wizards | 6c | 663.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Wizards | 7c | 649.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Bucks | 79c | 641.03$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 22c | 637.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Bucks | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Bucks | 79c | 597.65$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Wizards | 3c | 584.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 21c | 566.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Bucks | 80c | 505$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Bucks | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Wizards | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Bucks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Wizards | 20c | 491$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Wizards | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Bucks | 79c | 465.15$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Wizards | 20c | 435$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Wizards | 20c | 411$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Wizards | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Wizards | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…710bbacked Wizards | 8c | 383.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Bucks | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Bucks | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bucks | 78c | 337.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…19e8backed Wizards | 12c | 320.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 76c | 291.67$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Wizards | 4c | 280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Wizards | 22c | 278.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Wizards | 8c | 258.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bucks | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -15.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Bucksthis page
- Spread: Wizards (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Wizards (-8.5)Bucks won
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.