NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ee198ec7f88366ffc0597e9a3afcd38b09e257956e32d8bd13dbfec4d07445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a6…7538backed Under | 52c | 12,786$6,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,648.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…e415backed Over | 49c | 11,290$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Under | 52c | 6,100$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,866$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…e50fbacked Over | 48c | 2,625$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…9ea5backed Over | 48c | 2,117$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…4e5abacked Over | 48c | 2,069$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…174bbacked Over | 48c | 2,029$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…9086backed Over | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…4f98backed Under | 51c | 1,897$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…5a80backed Under | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Over | 48c | 1,824$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…aea0backed Over | 48c | 1,763$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…1409backed Under | 51c | 1,745$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…f481backed Over | 48c | 1,693$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…bd51backed Over | 48c | 1,693$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d3…a6c6backed Under | 51c | 1,656$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…431ebacked Under | 51c | 1,614$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…88e3backed Over | 48c | 1,605$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…78b1backed Over | 48c | 1,554$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…8c39backed Over | 48c | 1,549$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4c57backed Under | 51c | 1,542$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…93f8backed Over | 48c | 1,542$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d6c1backed Under | 51c | 1,521$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…7d2ebacked Under | 51c | 1,515$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2cd6backed Over | 48c | 1,487$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…effabacked Over | 48c | 1,478$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…69d5backed Over | 48c | 1,462$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…574ebacked Over | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…e8f3backed Over | 48c | 1,448$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…428abacked Under | 51c | 1,412$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…3141backed Under | 51c | 1,380$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…bf52backed Under | 51c | 1,312$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…15a6backed Under | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…e360backed Under | 51c | 1,267$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…91c7backed Over | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…b6ffbacked Over | 48c | 1,251$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…d3dcbacked Over | 48c | 1,203$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…c419backed Over | 48c | 1,193$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…35fcbacked Under | 51c | 1,183$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…c966backed Under | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…46e3backed Under | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…9488backed Over | 48c | 1,149$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…af73backed Over | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…a39abacked Under | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608e…80b7backed Over | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…a52bbacked Under | 51c | 1,128$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…f402backed Under | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f3b3backed Over | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…531abacked Under | 51c | 1,102$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…9c3abacked Under | 51c | 1,089$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…0591backed Under | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dc…92afbacked Over | 48c | 1,055$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Over | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Under | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…6764backed Under | 51c | 1,046$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…3b01backed Under | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3ff1backed Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…fa41backed Under | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Over | 49c | 1,007$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…318cbacked Over | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…3912backed Under | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Over | 48c | 980$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Under | 52c | 980$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed Under | 51c | 963$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…18c6backed Under | 51c | 959$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…62edbacked Under | 51c | 954$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…2bccbacked Over | 48c | 950$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…db8abacked Under | 51c | 925$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…48a9backed Under | 51c | 916$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Under | 56c | 896.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ac…a6cabacked Under | 51c | 891$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…f37ebacked Over | 48c | 888$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…d507backed Over | 48c | 881$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0c…2524backed Under | 51c | 875$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…fdf3backed Over | 48c | 874$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…d146backed Over | 48c | 868$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 54c | 864.88$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.41 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…a201backed Under | 51c | 863$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 47c | 855$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…3bedbacked Under | 51c | 855$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…1941backed Under | 51c | 847$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…15f8backed Under | 51c | 847$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…7765backed Over | 48c | 816$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…08f7backed Over | 48c | 816$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…6209backed Over | 48c | 811$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424f…99d6backed Over | 48c | 810$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…b321backed Over | 48c | 810$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…add6backed Under | 51c | 793$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…a5cfbacked Under | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…bc6bbacked Under | 51c | 765$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…44b9backed Over | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb21…8062backed Under | 51c | 737$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…ce49backed Over | 48c | 732$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Under | 51c | 719$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…6703backed Over | 48c | 718$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…391abacked Over | 48c | 713$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…1550backed Over | 48c | 712$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5this page
- Spread: Wizards (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Wizards (-8.5)Bucks won
- Wizards vs. BucksBucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.