NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a44179a29ec6727007b54038892d6a3ac0993635ff977792b168d8c8403e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 61c | 63,154$38,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,733.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Lakers | 35c | 26,251$9,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,137.47 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Lakers | 48c | 24,632$11,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,823.44 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Lakers | 43c | 22,000$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,459.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Lakers | 45c | 20,523$9,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,164 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…bdb6backed Suns | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Lakers | 49c | 15,600$7,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,643.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Suns | 50c | 15,013$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Suns | 64c | 9,612$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.35 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd8…65f3backed Lakers | 41c | 9,336$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 1c | 8,536$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Suns | 49c | 8,494$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.45 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns | 49c | 8,220$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.13 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Suns | 71c | 7,607$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.58 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…6633backed Suns | 57c | 6,257$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Lakers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Suns | 57c | 5,971$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 5,876$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Suns | 57c | 5,600$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.08 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 55c | 5,521$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.37 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Lakers | 43c | 5,279$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.71 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Lakers | 39c | 5,082$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Suns | 58c | 4,447$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.4 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Lakers | 46c | 4,386$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 56c | 4,152$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Suns | 51c | 4,040$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.6 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Lakers | 27c | 3,828$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.64 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Suns | 59c | 3,556$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lakers | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Suns | 58c | 2,978$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.15 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Lakers | 52c | 2,796$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Suns | 66c | 2,779$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…38b5backed Suns | 65c | 2,493$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…f3e9backed Lakers | 41c | 2,376$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…64f2backed Suns | 51c | 2,364$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…e7d4backed Lakers | 50c | 2,364$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…0ca8backed Lakers | 50c | 2,229$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked Suns | 51c | 2,229$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lakers | 51c | 2,090$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.9 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…af8ebacked Lakers | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Lakers | 51c | 2,049$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Suns | 55c | 2,043$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.55 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Suns | 58c | 2,034$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.48 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Suns | 52c | 2,022$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.09 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Lakers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Suns | 58c | 2,000$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Lakers | 40c | 1,963$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.74 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Lakers | 3c | 1,826$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Suns | 55c | 1,650$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Suns | 56c | 1,615$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Suns | 66c | 1,517$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…95b7backed Lakers | 16c | 1,505$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Lakers | 42c | 1,438$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.91 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…b3d7backed Suns | 58c | 1,392$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lakers | 49c | 1,381$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.71 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lakers | 49c | 1,291$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.76 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Suns | 60c | 1,242$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Lakers | 18c | 1,201$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Lakers | 19c | 1,163$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 17c | 1,127$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Suns | 64c | 1,113$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.33 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Suns | 59c | 1,076$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Suns | 55c | 1,056$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…8562backed Suns | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Suns | 58c | 1,005$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…bc92backed Lakers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Suns | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…0f7bbacked Lakers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…1a06backed Suns | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Suns | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Suns | 47c | 976.97$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.79 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Lakers | 37c | 945.74$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Suns | 80c | 942.59$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Suns | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2252backed Suns | 52c | 856$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Suns | 54c | 852.89$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.33 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Lakers | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Suns | 60c | 815.31$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Lakers | 51c | 707.11$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.56 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Suns | 59c | 689.69$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.77 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Suns | 62c | 670.92$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…2ca1backed Lakers | 50c | 660.52$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Suns | 51c | 660.47$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Lakers | 9c | 650$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Lakers | 48c | 639.13$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Lakers | 3c | 626.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…92c6backed Suns | 59c | 613.52$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Suns | 51c | 600.75$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.37 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 53c | 595.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Lakers | 44c | 570.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lakers | 6c | 552.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b9…052dbacked Lakers | 44c | 526.55$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Lakers | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Lakers | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Lakers | 42c | 506$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Lakers | 41c | 493.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.