College Football · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09cb176c5afcefc0a57dd5882be94c0ee2016ec8ef9e8a3fc923a85b41125d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledoof Kent State Golden Flashes, Toledo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 5c | 11,496$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.42 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 6c | 4,150$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 15c | 3,409$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 8c | 2,675$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 9c | 1,984$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 14c | 1,500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 6c | 1,400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 5c | 342.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…11aebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…b12abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 6c | 264.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 23c | 224$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8a…2be8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 13c | 215$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 7c | 205.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…8b1fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 11c | 107.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…c13ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Toledo | 56c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledothis page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo: O/U 49.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Toledo (-24.5)Toledo won
- Spread: Toledo (-26.5)Toledo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.