TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Titans vs. Colts

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Coltsof Titans, Colts
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,006,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,828,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,006,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Titans10c884,647$88,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,464.6817041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Titans9c177,711$16,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,533.587035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Titans9c100,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Titans5c86,182$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,221.9220026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Titans10c58,368$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.3747738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Titans9c49,922$4,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,492.9612144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Titans8c43,454$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.673423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Titans10c20,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90016226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Titans1c16,694$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.54424.8%2 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Titans3c14,867$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.0261148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Titans1c11,744$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.861969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Titans9c11,145$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.061618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Titans11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Titans12c9,319$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0985527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Titans5c7,089$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2641947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Titans0c6,148$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Titans9c5,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49518435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Titans0c5,428$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc93a…8b69backed Titans7c4,757$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33360%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Titans1c4,237$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.961486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Titans9c4,189$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e3…4698backed Titans9c3,399$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063c…7767backed Titans10c2,990$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans1c2,641$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.024311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Titans1c2,600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Titans6c2,600$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14514818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Titans10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5838…8bd3backed Titans0c2,472$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Titans1c2,308$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164918.4%9 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Titans9c2,235$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4927633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Titans3c2,010$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.841428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Titans10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Titans12c1,989$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2483141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…3292backed Titans10c1,909$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.881118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Titans2c1,883$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Titans9c1,855$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9583447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Titans10c1,700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Titans6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907526.7%20 W · 55 L-12.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcba9…afcebacked Titans10c1,400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Titans3c1,300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd6…23f8backed Titans10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Titans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008325.3%21 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x242d…603abacked Titans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Titans11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010537.1%39 W · 66 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd438…b80abacked Titans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Titans11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…0be3backed Titans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Titans5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Titans10c871$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7153348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5be…c4bebacked Titans7c742.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b2…52b3backed Titans7c718.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507739%30 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Titans9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b2…914ebacked Titans10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Titans9c612.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1610629.2%31 W · 75 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa962…6c41backed Titans10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Titans9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542425%6 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Titans10c549.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.99100%0 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe01f…276bbacked Titans11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd6…6202backed Titans9c537.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Titans11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd80…7b95backed Titans10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Titans11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018336.1%66 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x772e…a7eebacked Titans9c422.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Titans4c400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.515949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Titans10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Titans7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe121…8686backed Titans10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Titans6c350$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228910.1%9 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Titans7c349.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.698527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc4…37fcbacked Titans12c347.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Titans5c328$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7948847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Titans6c314.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa7…b707backed Titans9c288.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Titans11c287$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5736341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Titans9c282.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3910752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Titans8c262.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208938.2%34 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc069…7136backed Titans8c253.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+77.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef6…8437backed Titans11c236.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0e…3311backed Titans11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba8…3c3bbacked Titans11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8c…7831backed Titans11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…4c21backed Titans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…09a3backed Titans10c190.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Titans11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2e…3b61backed Titans11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Titans11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2c…a85ebacked Titans11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec4…e67abacked Titans11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Titans9c171.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519638.8%76 W · 120 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa770…84bebacked Titans12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d1…5db1backed Titans10c166.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d3…cabfbacked Titans9c165$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-71.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf819…ede6backed Titans11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Titans10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158129.6%24 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Titans8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…849bbacked Titans10c146.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf899…0a56backed Titans10c138.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc303…3057backed Titans11c129.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b78…e3f3backed Titans11c129.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…0d34backed Titans10c128.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.89425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.