CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FORZE Reload (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379b57038d16ebe78c37d01bb9ac4d941e16fe7de101f763f82c0fdec454c18b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC.Game Esportsof BC.Game Esports, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FORZE Reload | 28c | 1,293$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 1,267$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 7c | 953.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BC.Game Esports | 70c | 759.09$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 618.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed BC.Game Esports | 70c | 576$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 555.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked BC.Game Esports | 69c | 517.89$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed BC.Game Esports | 56c | 504.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked BC.Game Esports | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked BC.Game Esports | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked FORZE Reload | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 258.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 219.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed BC.Game Esports | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 155.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked FORZE Reload | 30c | 151.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BC.Game Esports | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed BC.Game Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…351dbacked FORZE Reload | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 24c | 118.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…62ddbacked BC.Game Esports | 77c | 109.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a35…b262backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 108.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…f23fbacked BC.Game Esports | 78c | 105.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed FORZE Reload | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…1987backed BC.Game Esports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 67.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked BC.Game Esports | 58c | 65.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed BC.Game Esports | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked BC.Game Esports | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed BC.Game Esports | 68c | 44.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…1dc7backed BC.Game Esports | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…367fbacked BC.Game Esports | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…ab87backed BC.Game Esports | 67c | 44.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…5ae7backed BC.Game Esports | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed BC.Game Esports | 72c | 39.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…53c3backed BC.Game Esports | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed BC.Game Esports | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked BC.Game Esports | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 32.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6244…d154backed BC.Game Esports | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…8ab6backed BC.Game Esports | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed BC.Game Esports | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked BC.Game Esports | 71c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1dddbacked BC.Game Esports | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…ef0bbacked BC.Game Esports | 63c | 22.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked BC.Game Esports | 75c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked BC.Game Esports | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…22d7backed BC.Game Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25f…c7a1backed BC.Game Esports | 77c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.