TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auger-Aliassimeof Vacherot, Auger-Aliassime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$561,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Auger-Aliassime62c95,554$59,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,339.977857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Vacherot38c80,834$30,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,716.7610845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Vacherot27c51,084$13,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.415436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Auger-Aliassime74c31,949$23,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,229.718,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Vacherot40c18,660$7,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4596549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Vacherot42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Auger-Aliassime59c13,796$8,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,656.442850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Auger-Aliassime58c10,324$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.4922037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Vacherot0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Vacherot13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Vacherot7c9,110$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.55127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Vacherot38c7,714$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.0312050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Vacherot38c6,079$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.159137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Vacherot0c4,620$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.552,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Auger-Aliassime66c4,583$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.882,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Vacherot35c4,339$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.081241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Auger-Aliassime75c4,164$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.7711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Vacherot27c4,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Vacherot41c4,000$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Vacherot11c3,908$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4715048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Auger-Aliassime61c3,695$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.053050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Auger-Aliassime58c3,330$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.664855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Auger-Aliassime60c3,311$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063a…8382backed Auger-Aliassime61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Vacherot39c2,565$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3317823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Auger-Aliassime74c2,454$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.2516644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Vacherot41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Vacherot3c2,143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick30cpaid+137%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Vacherot36c2,127$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.9413253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4b…002bbacked Auger-Aliassime62c1,988$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Auger-Aliassime61c1,887$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.981,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188d…d55fbacked Vacherot9c1,810$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Vacherot41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Vacherot34c1,625$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.417950.3%90 W · 89 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Vacherot38c1,620$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.994930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Auger-Aliassime62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.95448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d2…7b83backed Auger-Aliassime60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.071060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Auger-Aliassime63c1,590$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.577041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Vacherot41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6159257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Vacherot40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Auger-Aliassime58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.986035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Auger-Aliassime60c1,487$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.5813050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Vacherot41c1,447$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3422744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Vacherot42c1,416$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.434831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4d…675fbacked Vacherot42c1,411$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Vacherot40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9936540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Auger-Aliassime58c1,311$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55157645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…9042backed Vacherot39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Auger-Aliassime61c1,254$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.642733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Auger-Aliassime60c1,221$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Auger-Aliassime74c1,171$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…f11abacked Vacherot41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddac…f8d8backed Auger-Aliassime59c1,100$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Vacherot28c1,076$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30219131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Vacherot39c1,076$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…091abacked Vacherot14c1,013$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Vacherot41c1,010$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.016752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Auger-Aliassime61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Vacherot40c989.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Vacherot41c874.1$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Vacherot37c823.68$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7644125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c2…2bb3backed Vacherot40c815.73$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Auger-Aliassime60c779.52$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.815450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Vacherot22c775.55$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…7a98backed Vacherot41c744.73$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Vacherot41c736.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Vacherot14c715.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4728…f975backed Vacherot41c707.32$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Auger-Aliassime60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28025355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Vacherot33c700$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Vacherot41c672.2$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.68243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Auger-Aliassime61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7411060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Auger-Aliassime61c647.67$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.592445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Auger-Aliassime62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.166250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3405…5101backed Vacherot42c642.86$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Vacherot7c641.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.783710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Vacherot36c635.17$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23188446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Vacherot13c628.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Vacherot5c627.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Auger-Aliassime61c606.14$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.021,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2022…04b8backed Auger-Aliassime73c603.99$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.912576%19 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Auger-Aliassime58c549.92$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4743042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Auger-Aliassime66c545.45$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Auger-Aliassime76c541.85$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Vacherot39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Vacherot39c512.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9820257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked Vacherot40c510$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410251%52 W · 50 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Vacherot40c501.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Vacherot40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Vacherot12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Auger-Aliassime60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579b…4a2bbacked Vacherot2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Vacherot41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Vacherot5c499.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.282520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Auger-Aliassime59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9922737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Vacherot40c495$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee6b…8486backed Vacherot16c488.23$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.491050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Vacherot41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2475…5f8cbacked Vacherot39c487.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773e…c925backed Vacherot41c484.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.