Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6389b6ddb8497a47ed0364e64c9b5fee2fbeebf90a4109e89d187e13981562d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocciarettoof Wang, Cocciaretto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Wang | 50c | 6,097$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.5 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Cocciaretto | 66c | 5,475$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cocciaretto | 41c | 2,522$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…02ffbacked Wang | 41c | 2,434$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 1,210$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.02 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Cocciaretto | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Wang | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Wang | 47c | 875.53$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Wang | 60c | 838.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cocciaretto | 54c | 682.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 680.9$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cocciaretto | 49c | 526.26$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Cocciaretto | 69c | 432.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Wang | 54c | 386.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…532cbacked Wang | 32c | 358.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Wang | 58c | 344.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cocciaretto | 68c | 316.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cocciaretto | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wang | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Cocciaretto | 47c | 241.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Cocciaretto | 59c | 225$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…feb3backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 220.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 205.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cocciaretto | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Cocciaretto | 55c | 183.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Cocciaretto | 55c | 182.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cocciaretto | 65c | 153.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cocciaretto | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Cocciaretto | 65c | 143.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Wang | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Wang | 49c | 125.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Cocciaretto | 69c | 104.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…d5adbacked Cocciaretto | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…64f9backed Cocciaretto | 62c | 101.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…3b97backed Cocciaretto | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Cocciaretto | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Cocciaretto | 63c | 94.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Cocciaretto | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Cocciaretto | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Wang | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Wang | 34c | 64.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Wang | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Cocciaretto | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…920cbacked Cocciaretto | 63c | 56.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…7b8abacked Cocciaretto | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wang | 50c | 52.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wang | 51c | 50.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…be67backed Wang | 44c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Cocciaretto | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Cocciaretto | 63c | 40.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…3bfdbacked Cocciaretto | 62c | 37.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf81…cf50backed Cocciaretto | 55c | 36.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Cocciaretto | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cocciaretto | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Cocciaretto | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wang | 42c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Cocciaretto | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…1952backed Wang | 45c | 27.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cocciaretto | 75c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…8fc7backed Cocciaretto | 64c | 26.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…4207backed Wang | 72c | 25.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…a444backed Wang | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Cocciaretto | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…5961backed Cocciaretto | 61c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…276bbacked Cocciaretto | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…18f7backed Cocciaretto | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…559ebacked Cocciaretto | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.