Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90aba1ccad3257050d44ff67fa3aeddc43dc573d66676dd77ca62706b76f408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 44c | 9,637$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 9,171$5,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 49c | 3,246$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.45 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 35c | 2,574$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.24 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 54c | 1,849$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 31c | 1,776$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.37 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,315$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.08 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 69c | 1,203$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.81 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9aa…11f7backed No | 70c | 950$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…1150backed Yes | 30c | 950$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 56c | 867$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.13 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 715.63$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 598.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.47 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 29c | 561.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 62c | 530.06$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 31c | 481.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed No | 71c | 281.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 25c | 185.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 56c | 171.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Yes | 31c | 122.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 66.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 30c | 59.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 31c | 42.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 58c | 37.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 63c | 37.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…722bbacked Yes | 59c | 35.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 56c | 30.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…9cd9backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed No | 70c | 23.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Páfos FC win on 2025-10-21?No won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.