TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Páfos FC win on 2025-10-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa987…141dbacked No61c105,200$64,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,027.982250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes39c62,212$24,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,262.598241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes41c45,559$18,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,562.299146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,149.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No60c8,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.9614235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No59c6,775$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.757052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c6,615$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.0616136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c5,178$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.932,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c4,246$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.9421037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes11c4,163$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.939336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002070%14 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes39c1,923$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes40c1,893$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.331020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes17c1,630$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.832343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes12c1,460$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.415034%17 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c806.02$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.751,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c779$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27323942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes16c662$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.87219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No61c499.97$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes39c459.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802650%13 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…a062backed Yes29c405.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.235349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No59c357.07$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa159…df1ebacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No66c320.59$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes16c294.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.152576%19 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes40c268.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes12c258.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0210845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…209dbacked Yes39c253.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1579…b7c5backed Yes41c217.07$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Yes39c166.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes25c163.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460e…7ffebacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c0…9779backed Yes40c140.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd423…0dacbacked Yes40c127.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x262d…aaaebacked Yes39c127$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes16c126.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa518…747cbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505470.4%38 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Yes39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Yes16c114.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe136…eb2cbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No62c81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1420241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b7…52bebacked No61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.37648.7%37 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes39c64.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.178243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes40c50.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3214332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…83c0backed Yes41c46.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c3…f46ebacked No33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+89.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes67c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4517466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3517…8084backed Yes33c39.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e16…52d2backed Yes40c37.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…7791backed Yes39c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ef…7b8abacked Yes39c30.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes39c30.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+102.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes40c28.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…35e5backed Yes79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked No61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb5…2a39backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9b…069fbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5854…8d98backed No63c19.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c4…699bbacked No63c16.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.