TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cb5…2a39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$249.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+76.2%+$63.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30.77
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+134%+$22.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+123.9%+$18.59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.6%+$480.4
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$386.97
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+135%+$131.57
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$54.85
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+114.6%+$231.03
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$167.81
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,240.56
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.2%+$306.64
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+45%+$137.1
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$296.52
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.27
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.58
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$12.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$103
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$98.54
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.1
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$295.88
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.8%+$58.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$181.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.