TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No78c14,594$11,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.6327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes25c9,874$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.495841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c5,000$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23053246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No75c4,719$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.755253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No75c4,680$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1703951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c3,956$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9897024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c3,851$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.694,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c3,050$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75012251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No75c1,816$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.979154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b4…d3aabacked No75c1,700$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9aa…11f7backed Yes25c1,700$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes24c1,500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.994233.3%14 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No76c1,482$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.689450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd715…915abacked No75c1,300$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes25c1,229$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.331526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes8c1,110$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.357525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8655…39c0backed Yes24c1,100$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c979.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9646…3bc4backed Yes26c938.46$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes30c834$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ce…dc3cbacked No76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2785…1e29backed Yes24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked No76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.897468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…3590backed Yes19c600$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No75c590$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.215851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes25c588.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No75c555$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.759542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes6c537.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No77c471.43$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.436755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No75c465$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.258961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No75c430.6$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.65560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbea…1595backed Yes25c403.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes7c399.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes26c384.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+141.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c365$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a70…7057backed Yes25c352$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8953…e093backed No75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f2…876dbacked Yes25c346$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No76c336.42$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7415750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c330.12$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8329545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes26c326.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes7c320$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No75c311.24$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8110956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes5c299.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked No75c295$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes25c292.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes21c290.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd46…bcd2backed Yes25c266.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baa…e6dbbacked Yes25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d30…3391backed No75c260$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No75c251.3$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.828552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.535054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes25c227.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes8c219$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No77c207.79$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7910100%10 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702b…cba7backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Yes24c199$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.761225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes25c198.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes26c194.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b89…6e1fbacked Yes25c168.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf488…b954backed Yes40c151.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5be…8953backed Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No75c145$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.256535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ef…fccfbacked Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes26c126.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.862740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa137…06d7backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd83a…cdbebacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes23c118.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2128055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e2…75aebacked Yes21c117.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c110.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a90…8dacbacked No76c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea5…40aabacked Yes23c101.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x569d…5db5backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.