La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fa508099a4b3ef5a27d412ac855fcfc757bc2076ff0c7183e103426402e566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff8f…03e9backed Yes | 28c | 14,290$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 9,431$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.91 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e89fbacked No | 72c | 8,335$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf253…9baebacked No | 72c | 7,222$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Yes | 24c | 6,012$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…61ebbacked Yes | 28c | 5,720$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…abebbacked No | 72c | 4,444$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 15c | 4,005$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,689$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…79debacked Yes | 28c | 1,582$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…e7d4backed No | 73c | 1,581$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,510$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked No | 72c | 1,457$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Yes | 28c | 1,455$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 708.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 72c | 351.96$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 37c | 325.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c3…8f47backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f5…b1e3backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…8f66backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 211.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…d1f3backed Yes | 29c | 174.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 22c | 134.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 72c | 107.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…06d7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…20c6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 35c | 97.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 90.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 27c | 83.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 29c | 76.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 15c | 72.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 67.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked No | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed Yes | 28c | 61.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Yes | 29c | 42.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…19b2backed No | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 77c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…699bbacked No | 73c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?Yes won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.