La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382cc3d77c699d92e57f983431e70d169318da9031d57cf8e1afd2e6e7a266f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 48c | 48,895$23,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,425.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 7,138$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.66 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…cbe4backed Yes | 49c | 6,247$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…62cabacked No | 51c | 6,241$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 49c | 3,561$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.53 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,627$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.28 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…64f2backed No | 53c | 1,559$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,559$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 48c | 1,346$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.85 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 51c | 1,280$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.81 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,229$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 27c | 1,184$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 49c | 1,169$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…0ddbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…6324backed No | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed No | 51c | 999.88$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 49c | 999.59$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 70c | 928.67$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.01 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 47c | 876.83$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.72 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 835.31$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.69 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 806.49$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 70c | 699.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 46c | 647$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 47c | 640.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Yes | 43c | 610.88$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 47c | 509.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 48c | 500$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 47c | 482.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 437.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.18 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 32c | 384.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 371.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 49c | 305$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Yes | 50c | 301.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked No | 53c | 291$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Yes | 49c | 275.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 47c | 225.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 48c | 225$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…5cccbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…55e8backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked No | 55c | 186.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 53c | 176.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 42c | 176.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 164$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 75c | 161.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 33c | 152.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…0d78backed Yes | 49c | 135.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 130.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…d1f3backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 51c | 119.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 50c | 117.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 50c | 104.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…b0ccbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Yes | 50c | 100.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Yes | 50c | 100.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3590backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 47c | 92.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…e676backed Yes | 44c | 90.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6957…3d11backed Yes | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…2257backed No | 52c | 69.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…1042backed Yes | 50c | 69.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 67.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed No | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…6110backed No | 53c | 57.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 57.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed No | 53c | 52.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 47c | 51.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.