TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed No55c10,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.95040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c8,983$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.581,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No55c7,786$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.4414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.7428543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed No57c6,505$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x674c…f51ebacked No57c5,736$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2956…8198backed Yes43c5,729$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No69c5,183$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.624454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes42c5,001$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.722454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.931030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No64c4,694$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked No57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9718160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd7d6…1612backed Yes31c2,999$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes35c2,718$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.9316136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c2,447$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.4138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes45c2,393$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.119146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes46c2,316$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.7412036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Yes47c2,134$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c2,028$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No78c1,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1703256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes25c1,411$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.259043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c1,361$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.681,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6327…e181backed Yes26c1,351$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.74812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes20c1,005$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes44c948.81$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c771.82$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes42c661.41$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6211743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.163751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No57c640.32$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.75466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No54c631.98$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.277855.1%43 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3484242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…c2b8backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.32450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+210.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes31c516.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.131346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c514$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.712938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes43c470$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5312737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No76c460$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes44c451.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0415250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes42c400.75$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1410649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes43c399.71$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8312330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No58c385.28$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.761414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-63.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No57c350.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.01955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…501bbacked No56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No50c347.29$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1538935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No58c345$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.11450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No55c321.27$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4918250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes35c311.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.293836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16822054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718933.7%30 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes44c299.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9919344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No65c296.7$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7414044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes61c264.44$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.984045%18 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed No57c261.4$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c259.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.566955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No57c237$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0911645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes32c234.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.161643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.276058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed No58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf22c…5c89backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc74…216cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked No57c215.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes41c200.59$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.336653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed No68c200$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x221a…55e8backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43c3…d618backed No56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae7…411fbacked No75c195.46$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+257.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes35c181.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.174228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d4…9266backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes14c167.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0513232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Yes45c156.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.313030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…8862backed Yes47c154.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe577…6c42backed No76c150$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d0…a38abacked No57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed No70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.435642.9%24 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+112.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed No54c130.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No55c129.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7116853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked No57c126.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes37c122.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.825040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Yes46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No43c118.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0720343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No55c115.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6421744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.