Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c129ebb8f207cf360e34a4e1aaa5c342465c9aafc08db3ff264f3d62ba7e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 43c | 8,776$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 63c | 7,353$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.26 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…1612backed Yes | 35c | 4,835$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 3,742$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.15 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 27c | 2,965$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 36c | 2,039$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.05 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 2,033$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,786$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.27 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 67c | 1,672$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked No | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 31c | 929.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 27c | 833.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 831$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 45c | 766.38$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 637.86$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 33c | 600.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 68c | 295.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 50c | 277.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 269.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 27c | 226.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 61c | 223.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 187$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6041backed Yes | 71c | 186.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 27c | 183.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 74c | 161.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 30c | 155.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 71c | 141.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 110.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…2749backed Yes | 47c | 96.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 23c | 85.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…524dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…34a2backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed No | 74c | 48.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…a851backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8df7backed Yes | 25c | 47.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…d97ebacked Yes | 27c | 47.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 44.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 29c | 37.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…4d4abacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 69c | 17.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.