College Football · resolved market
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f5db4959bc2e94eb0084b996b021a7bd3937ea49e19ae150c9121f5c849c7ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 49,214$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 6c | 15,627$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.95 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Yes | 1c | 12,450$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 5c | 10,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 10,336$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.71 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 5c | 10,238$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,915$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 5c | 8,115$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 1c | 7,873$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 9c | 7,828$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 5c | 7,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.65 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…0f30backed Yes | 0c | 6,296$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed Yes | 9c | 6,000$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed Yes | 2c | 5,363$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…7938backed Yes | 1c | 5,363$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,912$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed Yes | 8c | 4,804$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…743bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,612$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 9c | 4,589$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -8.5wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 9c | 4,157$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05cf…c681backed Yes | 17c | 4,139$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…8d89backed Yes | 1c | 4,103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…ba2dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,817$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…a1c3backed Yes | 0c | 3,809$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…94b6backed Yes | 1c | 3,703$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…62efbacked Yes | 10c | 3,562$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…0431backed Yes | 1c | 3,417$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…a56fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,260$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,857$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,833$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 7c | 2,512$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…2a39backed Yes | 1c | 2,423$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,146$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 8c | 2,107$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,029$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…198abacked Yes | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…6064backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 2c | 1,980$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,975$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,615$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,608$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,571$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…8d48backed Yes | 5c | 1,283$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 1,140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…6b11backed No | 58c | 1,132$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…fd1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,090$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,037$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 8c | 939.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Yes | 5c | 897.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 7c | 869.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…8488backed Yes | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 9c | 603$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 7c | 599.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Yes | 7c | 599.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 581.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…fb01backed Yes | 7c | 580$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Yes | 80c | 574.19$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.81 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 6c | 567.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 561.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 9c | 460$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 369.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Yes | 10c | 368.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 348.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed Yes | 10c | 327.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Yes | 7c | 315.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 7c | 275.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 10c | 265.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 6c | 219.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 74c | 205$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 8c | 193.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…8db7backed Yes | 19c | 165.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked Yes | 12c | 150.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…d4f9backed Yes | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Yes | 15c | 137.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…4b39backed Yes | 12c | 123.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 14cpaid | +322.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…fcf2backed Yes | 27c | 73.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 79c | 60.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.