TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qairat FK win on 2025-10-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xade8…b0bdbacked No55c11,084$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.362343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No68c10,000$6,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,175.071030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.992454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes32c8,784$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.889146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c5,745$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.8716136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes60c3,160$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8964045%18 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c2,972$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.1314952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes48c2,499$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.6721037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No56c2,250$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99510845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c2,050$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65640222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402070%14 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.871650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes47c1,887$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.899336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No68c1,800$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No48c1,783$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.2738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No68c1,683$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.737052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes32c1,575$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No41c1,256$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.099043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No50c1,021$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No52c999.48$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.7523942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes25c983.15$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.255034%17 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes33c757.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes30c699.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No70c625.31$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.988840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c614.77$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0126443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes31c486.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes56c466.91$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.421877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes33c439.63$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No59c432.2$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c388.06$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.651,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No55c338.71$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15214044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes38c323$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.742842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes32c309.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.04119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9625450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes48c288.46$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.467060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0f…7b7fbacked Yes32c249.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.88520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked No53c220.53$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.652737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…a2e7backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No69c199.57$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes61c198.77$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.253652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes61c192.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes59c190$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.15651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes58c180$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes62c161.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.222547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes62c158.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes32c152.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No54c147.22$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.728638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No70c132.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.733844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27e3…a851backed Yes60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Yes49c122.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes59c119.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356055%33 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-65.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634546.7%21 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.11050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273917.9%7 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd729…d97ebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No52c78.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.993751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505470.4%38 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No67c72.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee1…398abacked Yes48c69.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9fbbbacked Yes32c63.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddf…1b96backed Yes60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes48c54.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed No58c51.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed No69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.726958%40 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0238…722bbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de3…8383backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No70c45.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.713158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes32c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f1e…b799backed No71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3011backed Yes63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes32c37.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.052254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ef…7b8abacked Yes33c36.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…98b0backed Yes65c35.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes35c33.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x746f…8dc7backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.