TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Kings, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed Kings20c51,269$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings38c50,220$19,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,168.9985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Suns50c38,861$19,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,475.3747144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Suns79c37,092$29,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,739.051,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Kings24c31,361$7,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,611.6519249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Suns70c30,905$21,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,183.341848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns79c25,786$20,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,409.291,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff6…a199backed Kings25c23,840$5,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,910.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Kings18c17,163$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.418333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Suns60c14,332$8,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.775540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns61c11,868$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,573.6281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Suns62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.528451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Kings39c6,074$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.5330053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Kings78c5,928$4,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,623.643630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Suns61c5,120$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.427051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns42c4,846$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Kings59c4,576$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Kings40c4,555$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.2671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Kings33c4,173$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.234327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Suns71c3,698$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.1347448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Suns60c3,344$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.5295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Kings23c3,296$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.1919432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c3,280$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.81,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ea…668bbacked Kings31c3,130$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Kings13c3,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Kings25c2,872$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.435250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings40c2,591$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.41,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Kings40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Suns62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Suns76c2,480$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9112941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Suns68c2,471$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.4944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Kings77c2,015$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.767561.3%46 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings58c2,000$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.176850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings40c1,929$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62b…9d36backed Kings67c1,899$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Suns47c1,605$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Suns60c1,539$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.594553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns60c1,532$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6c31backed Suns62c1,524$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1214…422ebacked Kings39c1,524$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.981,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Suns61c1,280$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings1c1,261$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.115502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Suns61c1,250$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49030947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed Kings40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Suns48c1,216$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.359140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Suns77c1,150$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.621,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Suns23c1,100$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.150453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Suns60c1,095$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.057342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns53c1,074$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.611,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Suns60c1,058$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.1612160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Kings34c1,051$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1528256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Kings39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns16c999.71$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.871,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Kings78c986.25$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Kings34c978.8$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Suns20c973.11$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.1922140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e3…f4a0backed Kings44c955.56$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Suns60c949.99$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9faa…bbedbacked Kings77c924.98$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked Kings79c806.73$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.883844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Suns50c805.56$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4091backed Kings39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003420.6%7 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b20…ee55backed Suns51c747.73$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.732356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Kings39c693$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2726149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns62c655.61$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Suns61c638.56$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Kings38c595$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.154747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns60c594.32$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.732,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns28c561.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3353134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Kings40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings35c500$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6243051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Kings40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-56.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Suns62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19020847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Suns16c499.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings70c492.41$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5216553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Kings25c492.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.14158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e6…a857backed Suns61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings76c488$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.248046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b2…a469backed Suns79c484.65$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…cf04backed Suns62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x144f…a1fdbacked Kings40c483$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Suns61c453.61$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.912,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Suns70c441.98$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3326949.1%132 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdd…0926backed Kings23c390$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Suns74c389.55$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6313042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings43c378$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4485344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Kings23c358.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.861421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Suns62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1332055%11 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings12c330$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3934524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Suns61c326.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.121540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Kings74c314.69$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.871637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9efd…1880backed Kings64c310.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Suns65c307.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Kings61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18348137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf390…79efbacked Kings38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Suns34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.124454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Kings74c278.03$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.