NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa87c0e1f190d5c96cb2ca0f1f2855784341449bc722ee9654a23dbe42d9581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 104,183$49,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,194.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 53c | 52,477$27,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,664.54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 36,869$19,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,328.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Over | 52c | 7,700$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,141$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.09 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 51c | 3,925$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.25 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,654$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 52c | 2,079$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.92 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 968.63$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.63 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Over | 53c | 497.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 51c | 312$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Over | 53c | 230$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…7274backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…abe4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 91.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…0d27backed Over | 50c | 67.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694f…68efbacked Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Suns: O/U 228.5this page
- Kings vs. SunsSuns won
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Kings (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.