NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898f8744a3a40c5569ac72b6883640b69c92ef9c05a03502b8010927437e3722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 833 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Hawks | 49c | 63,430$31,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,144.9 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawks | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Raptors | 58c | 33,618$19,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,271.29 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 33c | 29,670$9,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,879.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 33c | 24,109$7,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,153.19 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 53c | 22,556$12,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,494.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Hawks | 67c | 19,457$12,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,944.59 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 54c | 16,578$8,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594.5 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 66c | 13,194$8,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.14 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks | 60c | 11,842$7,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,117.39 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Raptors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.82 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 27c | 7,082$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.85 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 24c | 6,936$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Raptors | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hawks | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raptors | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 52c | 4,613$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.47 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks | 66c | 3,634$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.42 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Hawks | 65c | 3,531$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.24 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Hawks | 67c | 3,324$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.18 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 52c | 3,072$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Hawks | 36c | 2,767$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.13 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Raptors | 58c | 2,707$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Hawks | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 66c | 2,115$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.94 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 34c | 2,050$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Raptors | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Hawks | 66c | 1,544$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.87 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Hawks | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Hawks | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 9c | 1,459$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Raptors | 62c | 1,459$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.92 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Raptors | 62c | 1,453$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Raptors | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Hawks | 66c | 1,383$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 1c | 1,333$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 55c | 1,257$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.49 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…077abacked Raptors | 34c | 1,150$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Raptors | 70c | 1,148$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Hawks | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,119$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.13 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…f509backed Hawks | 67c | 1,116$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Raptors | 56c | 1,011$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.19 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…6298backed Hawks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Raptors | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…77d6backed Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Raptors | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Hawks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Hawks | 66c | 999.93$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b95…d040backed Raptors | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…81d6backed Hawks | 67c | 882$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Raptors | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Raptors | 74c | 799.81$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.93 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors | 47c | 745.17$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Raptors | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors | 59c | 653.05$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Raptors | 33c | 599.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 2c | 550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hawks | 67c | 550$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 55c | 549.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hawks | 56c | 537.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.24 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 66c | 518.47$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Hawks | 67c | 505$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Raptors | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Raptors | 55c | 468$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Hawks | 22c | 449.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Raptors | 67c | 435.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks | 4c | 431$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hawks | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Hawks | 67c | 394.75$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Hawks | 42c | 382.69$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 66c | 380.71$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Hawks | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Hawks | 67c | 375.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Hawks | 67c | 373.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Hawks | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Raptors | 34c | 361.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 66c | 352.96$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Hawks | 66c | 340.91$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks | 66c | 328.22$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 42c | 324.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Hawks | 67c | 322.39$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Hawks | 48c | 310.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Raptors | 34c | 305.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 33c | 304.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Hawks | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Hawks | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Raptors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…bce0backed Raptors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Raptors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Raptors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…1880backed Raptors | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Hawksthis page
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.