NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b133bc4286f938657799939fb1b42df9ab2851d1a26170e463b45a4f4bd183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Suns, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,297,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,300,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,297,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Suns | 11c | 146,300$16,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,702.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Suns | 5c | 93,074$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.71 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Warriors | 79c | 61,289$48,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,049.83 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Suns | 1c | 50,649$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Suns | 21c | 43,003$8,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,976.75 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Suns | 22c | 38,400$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Warriors | 80c | 25,250$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Warriors | 79c | 24,656$19,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.38 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Suns | 23c | 22,012$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Suns | 13c | 20,276$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.09 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Suns | 21c | 20,000$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.98 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Suns | 22c | 15,876$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.79 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 78c | 15,521$12,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Suns | 21c | 15,200$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Suns | 4c | 15,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.41 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 79c | 14,800$11,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.98 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Warriors | 79c | 14,000$11,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 80c | 13,667$10,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.07 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Suns | 1c | 12,972$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 79c | 12,659$10,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.9 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Suns | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Suns | 0c | 9,331$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 22c | 8,856$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.26 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns | 0c | 8,826$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 2c | 8,281$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 23c | 8,259$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.61 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…af58backed Suns | 1c | 8,217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Suns | 0c | 8,019$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Suns | 15c | 7,929$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 77c | 7,388$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.28 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Warriors | 78c | 7,305$5,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.87 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Suns | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Suns | 23c | 7,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 21c | 7,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 11c | 6,759$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.06 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Warriors | 77c | 6,605$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.1 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Suns | 4c | 6,516$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 3c | 6,443$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Suns | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…e7e4backed Suns | 16c | 6,155$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 9c | 5,914$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.97 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 80c | 5,474$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.98 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Suns | 3c | 5,237$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Warriors | 79c | 5,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Warriors | 79c | 4,926$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.45 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…831bbacked Suns | 9c | 4,923$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 78c | 4,881$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.15 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 21c | 4,863$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Warriors | 80c | 4,852$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.46 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 4,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Warriors | 78c | 4,044$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.51 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Suns | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Warriors | 77c | 3,898$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.69 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Warriors | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Suns | 7c | 3,750$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 79c | 3,745$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.52 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 79c | 3,611$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.61 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Suns | 3c | 3,319$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Warriors | 80c | 3,280$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.2 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 20c | 3,271$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.6 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Suns | 4c | 3,206$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Warriors | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…28f6backed Suns | 10c | 3,116$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 22c | 3,050$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 1c | 3,041$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Suns | 18c | 3,000$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.9 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…4808backed Suns | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked Suns | 7c | 2,978$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…6717backed Suns | 2c | 2,917$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Suns | 20c | 2,800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Suns | 22c | 2,775$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…ac68backed Suns | 12c | 2,583$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Suns | 8c | 2,510$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Suns | 4c | 2,503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4d28backed Suns | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 79c | 2,332$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.23 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…959fbacked Suns | 2c | 2,250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 10c | 2,238$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…735bbacked Suns | 5c | 2,175$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…db61backed Suns | 5c | 2,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Suns | 10c | 2,069$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Suns | 2c | 2,006$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Suns | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Suns | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Warriors | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Suns | 20c | 1,900$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Suns | 12c | 1,847$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 5c | 1,777$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Suns | 5c | 1,600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Suns | 10c | 1,532$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Suns | 1c | 1,514$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…fa2fbacked Suns | 6c | 1,505$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…6da8backed Suns | 11c | 1,501$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Warriors | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…425dbacked Suns | 20c | 1,450$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Suns | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Suns | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.