NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd99a0272e07612b286dd4cfed4e5e0537c0874fe75ad213666fb4d311b5191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 36,896$19,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,185.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Under | 48c | 14,500$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 46c | 14,118$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,578.97 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 49c | 10,994$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.56 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 2,515$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 46c | 2,422$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.88 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,660$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.64 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 50c | 1,445$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 50c | 1,422$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…1ab4backed Over | 50c | 1,391$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 1,037$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 54c | 856$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 47c | 667.67$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.8 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Over | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 377.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 364$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 334$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 51c | 288.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 50c | 200.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 199.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 151$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 56c | 142.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Over | 48c | 124.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 45c | 97.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Over | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Under | 49c | 61.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0407backed Under | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…37a0backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Under | 48c | 61.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Under | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…912cbacked Over | 58c | 41.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…ba33backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 51c | 23.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…d559backed Under | 65c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Suns vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.