NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64efeb0f91228176be8c12aaeaaa1d9639621df908b6e0b4ba474fba56432a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 7,666$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 6,764$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.29 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 56c | 5,953$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.53 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 5,392$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.76 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 55c | 5,127$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.58 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 47c | 4,438$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.1 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 49c | 2,732$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.39 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 56c | 1,791$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 45c | 1,757$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.95 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Under | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 46c | 1,309$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.58 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 1,095$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 57c | 1,028$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.4 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 801.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Over | 46c | 630$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.1 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 57c | 377$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 54c | 184.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 45c | 108.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 53c | 77.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Suns won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Suns vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Suns vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.