TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No36c7,852$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.554949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c7,193$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,417.551,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c6,261$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,223.858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c4,388$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.421,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes31c3,381$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.511650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.8112036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9325…f40abacked Yes17c3,200$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+500.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No69c3,015$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.5317048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No69c2,787$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.047052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes16c2,112$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77419028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes31c1,614$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes17c1,579$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3b…4253backed No2c1,125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick6cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes77c1,022$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.641346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes31c999.69$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.791711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No18c997.52$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.438427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b0…f99dbacked Yes57c920.46$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No27c836.59$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4720343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes26c796.07$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.072128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cee…85dabacked Yes64c778.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.191353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3cc…31aabacked Yes58c608.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes16c574$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3716136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes31c564.52$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5210330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x716d…eaf2backed Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No29c500$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.812737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3454027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes27c473.89$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.838343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.753933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcde7…e29fbacked Yes17c465.2$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+323.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.554100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes78c429.56$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes16c407.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6638048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c354.27$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.814044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes17c324.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2110051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes57c310.82$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6516447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877b…7d82backed No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes49c292.19$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.781030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes17c270.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…139fbacked Yes31c261.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.76520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502650%13 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No27c234.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2521745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.813652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes73c212.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.864621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-59.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes17c211.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.442540%10 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes50c205$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14211443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb63…f4f0backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes16c197$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.485424.1%13 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes45c186.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.41625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Yes55c183.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2adc…20bebacked No64c179.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f5…7ce8backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes17c168.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.324339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes70c168.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5814952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6747…3695backed Yes31c167.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked No59c167.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.54219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes43c162.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.522142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.293056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6004…6ecabacked Yes13c158.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+130.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes17c152.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.942540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…cb0abacked Yes67c135.66$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes25c133.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7937544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes45c123.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.88959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes16c115.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.879624%23 W · 73 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7de…ea41backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3264…0de7backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9357…042ebacked Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+108.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Yes50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.71450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea9…93eebacked Yes77c87.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No33c80.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.667640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e8…a953backed Yes31c80.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.659645.8%44 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.249553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…218cbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…3b71backed Yes25c68.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes28c65.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1512751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes29c64.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.759336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes31c64.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.434242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd510…0be5backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes16c63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9229034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2e…05e5backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b68…0060backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…a618backed Yes36c58.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…4526backed Yes70c58.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.