Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750657aa48181a8d2ce3122826ff6f87968d3ece1976789391131767ac69e9dc

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 26, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $267,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $282,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,892 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe842…27d6backed No	0c	16,055$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.76	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be3…688fbacked Yes	75c	14,953$11,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,692.68	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes	13c	9,422$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,171.19	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	59c	6,827$4,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,015.4	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	45c	5,580$2,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,068.11	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	67c	4,427$2,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.99	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	74c	3,777$2,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.93	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	15c	3,631$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,096.27	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	9c	3,205$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,914.3	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	69c	2,672$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.53	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	32c	2,428$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.35	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	77c	2,233$1,726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.72	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed No	46c	2,207$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.85	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Yes	71c	2,103$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	25c	2,102$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.56	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	2,020$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,827.41	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd466…6ce6backed Yes	4c	2,010$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,923.84	66	15.2%10 W · 56 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	15c	2,000$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,706.74	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed No	5c	1,898$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.69	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	20c	1,748$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.11	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	1c	1,700$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,683	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	58c	1,530$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.43	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d5…8433backed Yes	13c	1,506$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	46c	1,416$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.07	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,268$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,254.82	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb438…b113backed Yes	55c	1,253$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.74	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-74%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	70c	1,000$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.71	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f3…ada9backed Yes	42c	987.93$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.85	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed No	9c	981.52$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.41	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes	2c	750$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.75	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+61%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f1…ec06backed Yes	76c	744.29$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.52	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes	52c	696.41$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.22	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	18c	695.96$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.15	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…23b0backed Yes	6c	669.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.7	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+153.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ff…8ed7backed No	79c	636.3$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-4.2wins	-0.38per pick	65cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	5c	615.38$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.72	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	43c	610.5$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.28	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	3c	573.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.78	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d3…a690backed Yes	4c	560$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+369.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked No	14c	528.92$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.17	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed No	25c	500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	59c	460.04$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.54	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	8c	434.81$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	46c	431.24$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.92	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	34c	420.34$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.37	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	22c	417.3$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.95	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	413.61$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.86	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Yes	32c	412.13$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.34	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Yes	73c	409.52$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.52	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	58c	400.53$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.05	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0783…dd27backed Yes	33c	400$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.4	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9e…94cfbacked No	10c	385.38$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	65c	369.91$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.91	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x06e1…8f7ebacked Yes	71c	358.6$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.81	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	6c	351.91$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.91	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Yes	72c	345.22$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.22	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	12c	335.71$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.26	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fa…fe6ebacked Yes	51c	295.37$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.99	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes	34c	293.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.26	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd822…3127backed Yes	57c	281$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.92	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked No	72c	275.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2667…5cd6backed No	49c	275.95$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	4c	274.31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.31	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff4…eb8ebacked No	74c	269.99$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.35	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f1…95e2backed No	52c	266.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…0eeabacked No	6c	247$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61eb…6aa7backed Yes	18c	234.15$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	14cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece5…bd2cbacked Yes	67c	220$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.74	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed No	6c	216.62$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0702…d5f9backed Yes	78c	201.09$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.64	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a84…4f5dbacked No	49c	195.93$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.64	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	79c	188.4$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.13	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc369…4e87backed No	19c	176$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+52%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes	53c	174.86$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.86	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	59c	170.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	16c	168.64$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.43	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Yes	72c	151.81$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.81	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd952…620bbacked Yes	66c	150.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.85	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	38c	150$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.27	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	53c	150$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d4b…5d89backed Yes	68c	148.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.14	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f19…af6bbacked No	72c	145$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.98	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d50…8eebbacked Yes	69c	144.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.21	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	48c	143.26$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.26	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4e…1f10backed Yes	75c	133.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes	58c	130.17$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.17	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	34c	130$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…13cdbacked Yes	58c	127.85$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4312…a388backed Yes	56c	127.84$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.84	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31eb…bea0backed Yes	40c	124.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf2…7bacbacked Yes	72c	123.04$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.94	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b58…53fdbacked Yes	33c	120$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.04	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	61c	118.08$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.3	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No	49c	117.83$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.42	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd3…a797backed Yes	34c	117.3$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.3	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e1…4252backed Yes	61c	115.21$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.21	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	52c	114.89$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.66	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…e7d8backed Yes	49c	114.13$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.13	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8343…0c57backed Yes	18c	111.39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.39	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+249.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes	13c	110$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event