Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe179272c73323cd304beb50df57c42f59266f7f69c53399c8fe484df33a25ae4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 26, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $290,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,079 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	6c	29,129$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.89	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	3c	25,779$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.53	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be3…688fbacked Yes	16c	10,521$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.29	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	9c	10,518$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.78	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	22c	8,786$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,934.52	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	12c	5,257$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.97	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	4,828$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.34	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes	9c	4,544$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.67	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	25c	3,313$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.06	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	60c	3,103$1,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.33	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	77c	2,766$2,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.55	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	8c	2,698$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.42	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	18c	2,556$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.35	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	1c	2,250$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	26c	2,202$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.77	63	14.3%9 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	2,153$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	2,120$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.45	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	1,680$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.16	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	9c	1,612$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.52	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ae…aa64backed Yes	53c	1,577$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	1,526$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.16	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	16c	1,522$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.24	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes	2c	1,500$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes	28c	1,460$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	84	13.1%11 W · 73 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	30c	1,436$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.44	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	12c	1,414$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.74	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	28c	1,407$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.51	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3d…05c4backed Yes	1c	1,344$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	1,200$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Yes	34c	1,194$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	22c	1,183$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.95	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d67…81f2backed Yes	3c	1,148$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.43	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	4cpaid	+475.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	12c	1,099$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.65	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48a4…4dc2backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	11c	967.15$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.32	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	23c	935.38$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.53	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	29c	933.51$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.67	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	10c	918.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.07	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…1e99backed Yes	70c	903.73$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	32c	900$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	10c	849.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.9	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	72c	846.51$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.84	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	11c	710$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.59	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	17c	700.28$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.93	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes	21c	696.41$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.35	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	26c	691.73$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	18c	683.34$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.63	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	4c	678.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes	15c	670$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	19c	650$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	5c	623.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0783…dd27backed Yes	45c	581.55$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.58	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	560.04$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.43	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	3c	517.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	7c	500.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0622backed Yes	3c	494.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	21c	482.91$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.66	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	19c	411.22$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.12	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	21c	401.46$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes	14c	392.06$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	5c	384$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac38…f21ebacked Yes	29c	377$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.05	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes	4c	350$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+61%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	78c	349$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.68	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd822…3127backed Yes	13c	344.13$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.04	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Yes	26c	342.59$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.31	179	20.7%37 W · 142 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	22c	340.45$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.41	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…32e7backed Yes	29c	331.86$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.24	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	32c	314.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…6387backed Yes	21c	300$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…e7d8backed Yes	30c	295.88$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	280$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Yes	18c	280$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes	32c	258.76$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd712…228dbacked Yes	5c	256.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b58…53fdbacked Yes	5c	252.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	20c	245.77$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.07	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	21c	240.77$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	7c	235$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	35c	231.64$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ac…15b0backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…dd84backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	25c	190.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x153d…b4bbbacked Yes	5c	186.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…13cdbacked Yes	42c	151$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.35	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e6…92e4backed Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46e4…51debacked Yes	17c	145.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fe3…0a16backed Yes	15c	143.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf2…7bacbacked No	70c	143.17$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a2…1d4cbacked Yes	18c	141.6$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…b9ffbacked Yes	10c	131.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	85	18.8%16 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes	19c	129.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffa…336abacked Yes	14c	129.28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31eb…bea0backed Yes	31c	127.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6030…6f2ebacked Yes	40c	124.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+75%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd3…a797backed Yes	32c	123.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f92…df1dbacked Yes	24c	123$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event