Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58934726ed32b3e67536e8a5dc42bf047ed886e88e9139b83c943ccce3619fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 11,814$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,935.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 4,202$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 52c | 3,156$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 20c | 2,348$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 49c | 2,141$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.64 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 65c | 1,438$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.11 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,217$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.08 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 49c | 882.56$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 48c | 783.53$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 49c | 733.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.26 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 48c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 50c | 400.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 51c | 390.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 49c | 384.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 48c | 314.41$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 39c | 298.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 40c | 260$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 51c | 255.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 51c | 236.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…ce67backed Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 51c | 198.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 51c | 196.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Yes | 73c | 179.45$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 31c | 178.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 48c | 158.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcb…a2aabacked Yes | 73c | 146.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 52c | 145.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 51c | 124.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 72c | 116.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed Yes | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed No | 29c | 112.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 51c | 95.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 53c | 94.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 48c | 89.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 40c | 86.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 41c | 85.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…212abacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 46.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…1b1ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…2489backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 51c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…09dabacked No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…7950backed Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…6a85backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…9109backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…8675backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 45c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…cd71backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…057cbacked No | 50c | 28.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 67c | 24.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…63a2backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Bologna vs. Sport-Club Freiburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-10-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.