TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c11,814$5,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.995763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No48c4,202$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.9215151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes52c3,156$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6553354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes20c2,348$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.791618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No49c2,141$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.6412269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c1,438$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1112247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c1,217$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.082,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53020449.5%101 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45920132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes49c882.56$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No48c783.53$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.943259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No49c733.84$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.265536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3128742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No48c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.42740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes50c400.03$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.042740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes51c390.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No49c384.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.593444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No48c314.41$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.254837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes39c298.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed Yes51c290.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No40c260$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.484447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes51c255.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes51c236.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.573122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Yes35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes51c198.71$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes51c196.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe429…fb94backed Yes73c179.45$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No31c178.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.079652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No48c158.53$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8315846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcb…a2aabacked Yes73c146.73$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes52c145.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes52c126.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes51c124.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.452268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes72c116.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.388045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.512955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed Yes52c113.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed No29c112.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes51c95.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.519145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes53c94.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked No48c89.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.311330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No40c86.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.731656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No41c85.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7120655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6727537.1%102 W · 173 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32f…4f6cbacked No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0213552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No49c46.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.510960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No48c41.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No47c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7337926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6002…1b1ebacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a4…2489backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes51c38.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f9…09dabacked No50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f72…7950backed Yes51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes74c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a1…6a85backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…9109backed Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513256.8%75 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78b…8675backed No48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No45c29.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3520042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ed…cd71backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6209…057cbacked No50c28.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes67c24.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89d…63a2backed Yes73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.